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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Vitória de Sernache v Louletano: numbers & prediction

Liga 3 · Portugal
1–0
FT
Vitória de Sernache 34%Draw 22%Louletano 45% Expected goals 1.22 – 1.46
54%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Fair pick · fair odds 1.85 · bookmaker 1.62 · Won ✓

4/10Rating
1.62Odds

Picks by market

ResultLouletano to win ✗45% · @2.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · fair 1.96
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.99

Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Louletano travel to face Vitória de Sernache on Saturday 10 October in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Vitória de Sernache are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Louletano are 6th (upper half) with 11.

Current form

Vitória de Sernache, last 5: WLLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Varzim, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Louletano, last 5: DLWWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with FC Serpa, away. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Louletano, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Vitória de Sernache.

Head to head

When they last met (31 May 2026) it ended Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Vitória de Sernache 1.2 xG, Louletano 1.5 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória de Sernache 34%, draw 22%, Louletano 45%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (54%, odds 1.62). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Vitória de Sernache34%fair 2.97 · @2.70
Draw22%fair 4.59 · @3.25
Louletano45%fair 2.25 · @2.30
2.68Expected goals
1.22Vitória de Sernache xG
1.46Louletano xG
49%Both score
46%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
0–110%
1–29%
1–08%
2–17%
0–27%

From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.2 – 1.5 Louletano expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultLouletano to win ✗45%2.252.30
Double chanceEither team to win ✓78%1.281.25
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.96–
Draw no betLouletano (draw no bet) ✗57%1.76–
Asian handicapVitória de Sernache +1 (Asian handicap) ✓74%1.36–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓54%1.851.62
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreLouletano to score first ✗51%1.97–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Louletano / FT Louletano ✗25%3.99–
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10%9.99–

Recent results

Vitória de Sernache – last 6

WLLWLD
19 Sepvs Varzim2–1W
13 Sep@ Caldas0–2L
6 Sepvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
30 Aug@ Nazarenos3–0W
23 Aug@ Oliveirense2–3L
16 Augvs SC Covilha0–0D
1.3Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Louletano – last 6

DLWWWL
20 Sep@ FC Serpa1–1D
12 Sepvs União Santarém1–2L
6 Sepvs Lusitano Évora 19111–0W
30 Aug@ Castrense1–0W
23 Aug@ Caldas4–2W
15 Augvs CF Os Belenenses1–3L
1.5Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

31 May 2026Vitória de Sernache v Louletano1–1
Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano head-to-head page →

Liga 3 table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Paredes9711+1122
2Leça9423+214
3AD Marco 099423+114
4Fafe9342+413
5Guimaraes B9333+212
6Varzim9405012
7Vianense9252-111
8Pacos Ferreira9324-411
9São João Ver9234-39
10Trofense9126-125
1CF Os Belenenses9630+1221
2Atlético CP9621+1120
3Oliveirense9342013
4União Santarém9414-413
5Mafra9333+412
6Louletano9324011
7Caldas9324-311
8Vitória de Sernache9216-107
9SC Covilha9144-57
10Lusitano Évora 19119144-57

More Liga 3 predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 54% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.62.

Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 34% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Louletano 45%.

How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Louletano, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano?

Vitória de Sernache vs Louletano (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.