Value bet: Paredes to win @ 1.95 – our chance 55% vs 51% implied by the price (edge +7%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultParedes to win ✗55% · @1.95
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.25
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.80
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗14% · fair 7.24
Vianense vs Paredes: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Paredes travel to face Vianense on Saturday 10 October in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 15:00 WAT. In the table, Vianense are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Paredes are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Vianense, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Estrela Calheta, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game.
Paredes, last 5: WWWWL Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Maria da Fonte, at home. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vianense 0.9 xG, Paredes 1.5 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 44%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vianense 25%, draw 21%, Paredes 55%.
Price worth noting: Paredes to win @1.95 – the bookmaker implies 51%, our ratings say 55%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vianense 0–1 Paredes. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vianense25%fair 4.08 · @3.40
Draw21%fair 4.84 · @3.25
Paredes55%fair 1.82 · @1.95
2.40Expected goals
0.88Vianense xG
1.52Paredes xG
44%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–114%
1–112%
0–210%
1–29%
0–09%
1–08%
From our goals model: Vianense 0.9 – 1.5 Paredes expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Paredes to win✗
55%
1.82
1.95 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.26
1.25
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.80
–
Draw no bet
Paredes (draw no bet)
69%
1.45
–
Asian handicap
Vianense +1 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.79
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Paredes to score first
57%
1.74
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Paredes / FT Paredes✗
31%
3.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
14%
7.24
–
Recent results
Vianense – last 6
WWDWLW
20 Sep
@ Estrela Calheta
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Varzim
2–1
W
5 Sep
vs Pacos Ferreira
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Minas de Argozelo
8–0
W
23 Aug
@ AD Marco 09
0–2
L
15 Aug
vs Trofense
2–0
W
2.8Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Paredes – last 6
WWWWLW
20 Sep
vs Maria da Fonte
5–1
W
13 Sep
vs Fafe
2–1
W
5 Sep
@ Varzim
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Ermesinde
3–1
W
23 Aug
vs Leça
1–2
L
15 Aug
@ Pacos Ferreira
1–0
W
2.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vianense and Paredes.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Vianense vs Paredes?
On our numbers Vianense have a 25% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Paredes 55%.
How many goals will there be in Vianense vs Paredes?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vianense vs Paredes?
Our predicted score is Vianense 0–1 Paredes, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Vianense vs Paredes?
Vianense vs Paredes (Liga 3) kicks off on Saturday 10 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
