Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.36 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.36Odds
2
Value bet: SC Covilha to win @ 3.42 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultLouletano to win ✓45% · @1.99
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗56% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓79% · @1.16
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05
Louletano vs SC Covilha: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Louletano v SC Covilha in the Liga 3. In the table, Louletano are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; SC Covilha are 9th (upper half) with 7.
Current form
Louletano, last 5: LDLLD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Mafra, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
SC Covilha, last 5: LDDDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Caldas, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Louletano 1.3 xG, SC Covilha 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Louletano 45%, draw 23%, SC Covilha 32%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: SC Covilha to win @3.42 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Louletano 1–1 SC Covilha. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Louletano45%fair 2.23 · @1.99
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.05
SC Covilha32%fair 3.12 · @3.42
2.27Expected goals
1.26Louletano xG
1.00SC Covilha xG
56%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–110%
0–010%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Louletano 1.3 – 1.0 SC Covilha expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Louletano to win✓
45%
2.23
1.99
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
1.91 ▲
Draw no bet
Louletano (draw no bet)✓
58%
1.71
–
Asian handicap
SC Covilha +1 (Asian handicap)✗
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.51
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
59%
1.68
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
1.16
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
Louletano to score first✓
50%
2.00
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Louletano / FT Louletano✓
24%
4.11
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.05
–
Recent results
Louletano – last 6
LDLLDL
31 Oct
@ Mafra
1–2
L
25 Oct
vs Atlético CP
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Rio Ave
0–1
L
10 Oct
@ Vitória de Sernache
0–1
L
20 Sep
@ FC Serpa
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs União Santarém
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
SC Covilha – last 6
LDDDLD
1 Nov
vs Caldas
0–1
L
25 Oct
@ CF Os Belenenses
1–1
D
10 Oct
vs Oliveirense
0–0
D
12 Sep
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
2–2
D
5 Sep
@ Mafra
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Mortágua
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Louletano and SC Covilha.
What is the prediction for Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Louletano vs SC Covilha?
On our numbers Louletano have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 23% and SC Covilha 32%.
How many goals will there be in Louletano vs SC Covilha?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Our predicted score is Louletano 1–1 SC Covilha, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Louletano vs SC Covilha?
Louletano vs SC Covilha (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
