Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
21:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Pacos Ferreira v Trofense in the Liga 3. In the table, Pacos Ferreira are 8th, upper half, on 11 points after 9 matches; Trofense are 10th (upper half) with 5.
Current form
Pacos Ferreira, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–3 defeat to Fafe, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Trofense, last 5: LLDLD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to AD Marco 09, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Pacos Ferreira, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Trofense.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pacos Ferreira 1.8 xG, Trofense 0.7 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 55%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pacos Ferreira 62%, draw 25%, Trofense 13%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (75%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pacos Ferreira62%fair 1.62 · @1.69
Draw25%fair 3.94 · @3.30
Trofense13%fair 7.71 · @4.40
2.48Expected goals
1.78Pacos Ferreira xG
0.71Trofense xG
55%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
0–08%
3–08%
From our goals model: Pacos Ferreira 1.8 – 0.7 Trofense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pacos Ferreira to win✓
62%
1.62
1.69
Double chance
Pacos Ferreira or draw✓
87%
1.15
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
55%
1.83
1.93 ▲
Draw no bet
Pacos Ferreira (draw no bet)✓
83%
1.21
–
Asian handicap
Pacos Ferreira -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
1.32
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
55%
1.82
1.66
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
75%
1.33
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Pacos Ferreira to score first✓
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Pacos Ferreira ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pacos Ferreira / FT Pacos Ferreira✓
40%
2.53
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.75
–
Recent results
Pacos Ferreira – last 6
LWWDDD
30 Oct
@ Fafe
1–3
L
23 Oct
vs Leça
1–0
W
11 Oct
@ Guimaraes B
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs São João Ver
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ Vianense
2–2
D
29 Aug
vs Fafe
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Trofense – last 6
LLDLDL
31 Oct
vs AD Marco 09
0–2
L
24 Oct
@ Paredes
0–4
L
11 Oct
@ Fafe
2–2
D
12 Sep
vs Leça
1–4
L
5 Sep
@ Guimaraes B
0–0
D
29 Aug
@ Varzim
1–5
L
0.7Scored / game
2.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pacos Ferreira and Trofense.
What is the prediction for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 75% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
On our numbers Pacos Ferreira have a 62% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Trofense 13%.
How many goals will there be in Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Our predicted score is Pacos Ferreira 1–0 Trofense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense?
Pacos Ferreira vs Trofense (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
