Value bet: Both teams to score @ 1.87 – our chance 58% vs 53% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultAtlético CP to win ✓51% · @1.96
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.26
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗58% · @1.87
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.19
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.59
Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Atlético CP travel to face Vitória de Sernache on Sunday 8 November in the Liga 3 – the ball rolls at 16:00 WAT. In the table, Vitória de Sernache are 8th, upper half, on 7 points after 9 matches; Atlético CP are 2nd (among the top four) with 20. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Vitória de Sernache, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Lusitano Évora 1911, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Atlético CP, last 5: WDWWW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over União Santarém, at home. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Vitória de Sernache 1.0 xG, Atlético CP 1.6 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 58%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Vitória de Sernache 26%, draw 23%, Atlético CP 51%.
GG/NG: GG (58%) at 1.87.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @1.87 – the bookmaker implies 53%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (71%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Atlético CP. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Vitória de Sernache26%fair 3.86 · @3.68
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.06
Atlético CP51%fair 1.96 · @1.96
2.61Expected goals
1.03Vitória de Sernache xG
1.58Atlético CP xG
58%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–112%
1–29%
0–29%
1–08%
0–07%
From our goals model: Vitória de Sernache 1.0 – 1.6 Atlético CP expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Atlético CP to win✓
51%
1.96
1.96
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.26
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
58%
1.72
1.87 ▲
Draw no bet
Atlético CP (draw no bet)✓
66%
1.51
–
Asian handicap
Vitória de Sernache +1 (Asian handicap)
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
1.33
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.19
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.13
1.06
First team to score
Atlético CP to score first✓
56%
1.79
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
43%
2.35
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Atlético CP / FT Atlético CP✓
30%
3.32
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.59
–
Recent results
Vitória de Sernache – last 6
WLWWWL
1 Nov
@ Lusitano Évora 1911
1–0
W
25 Oct
@ União Santarém
1–2
L
18 Oct
@ Brito
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Louletano
1–0
W
19 Sep
vs Varzim
2–1
W
13 Sep
@ Caldas
0–2
L
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Atlético CP – last 6
WDWWWL
31 Oct
vs União Santarém
3–1
W
25 Oct
@ Louletano
2–2
D
17 Oct
vs Vizela
1–0
W
11 Oct
vs Caldas
4–1
W
19 Sep
vs Lagoa
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ CF Os Belenenses
0–1
L
2.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Vitória de Sernache and Atlético CP.
What is the prediction for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 71% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
On our numbers Vitória de Sernache have a 26% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Atlético CP 51%.
How many goals will there be in Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 58% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Our predicted score is Vitória de Sernache 1–1 Atlético CP, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP?
Vitória de Sernache vs Atlético CP (Liga 3) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
