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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Caen v Al Wakrah: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Caen

WLWWW
4–1
FT

Al Wakrah

WWWDW
Caen 33%Draw 23%Al Wakrah 44% Expected goals 1.94 – 1.75
59%
Betarazi pick

Over 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.69 · bookmaker 2.00 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
2.00Odds
1

Value bet: Caen to win @ 3.90 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +27%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultAl Wakrah to win ✗44% · @1.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.25
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓57% · fair 1.76
GoalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59% · @2.00
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7% · fair 13.45

Caen vs Al Wakrah: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Caen welcome Al Wakrah for a Friendlies Clubs fixture on Saturday 25 July (16:00 WAT).

Current form

Caen, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–2 win over Laval, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. 2.8 goals per outing makes them dangerous. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Al Wakrah, last 5: WWWDW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Stade Brestois 29, away. Away from home the record reads 3 won, 1 lost from 4. 2.7 goals per outing makes them dangerous.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Caen 1.9 xG, Al Wakrah 1.7 xG – a total near 3.7. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 57% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Caen 33%, draw 23%, Al Wakrah 44%.
  • Price worth noting: Caen to win @3.90 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 2.5 goals (59%, odds 2.00 – longer than our fair 1.69, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Caen 2–1 Al Wakrah. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Caen33%fair 3.06 · @3.90
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.30
Al Wakrah44%fair 2.26 · @1.80
3.68Expected goals
1.94Caen xG
1.75Al Wakrah xG
57%Both score
59%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–18%
2–18%
1–27%
2–27%
3–15%
1–05%

From our goals model: Caen 1.9 – 1.7 Al Wakrah expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

CaenAl Wakrah
Attack vs Friendlies Clubs average+23%-11%
Goals conceded vs average+3%+14%
Our expected goals here2.431.48

Our own ratings from every Friendlies Clubs result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultAl Wakrah to win ✗44%2.261.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.25
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓57%1.76–
Draw no betAl Wakrah (draw no bet) ✗58%1.74–
Asian handicapAl Wakrah +1 (Asian handicap) ✗71%1.41–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓88%1.13–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓59%1.692.00 ▲
Over/under 3.5 goalsOver 3.5 goals ✓50%1.99–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗69%1.45–
First team to scoreCaen to score first ✓51%1.95–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗35%2.86–
Half-time / full-timeHT Caen / FT Caen ✓26%3.80–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗7%13.45–

Recent results

Caen – last 6

WLWWWW
18 Julvs Laval4–2W
15 Julvs Gobelins3–4L
9 Jul@ Rennes2–1W
24 Aprvs Villefranche3–0W
17 Apr@ Bourg-en-bresse 012–0W
10 Apr@ Gobelins3–0W
2.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Al Wakrah – last 6

WWWDWL
22 Jul@ Stade Brestois 292–0W
1 May@ Al-Rayyan SC3–0W
27 Aprvs Al-Sailiya3–1W
8 Aprvs Al-Gharafa3–3D
3 Apr@ Qatar SC4–1W
17 Mar@ Al-Rayyan SC1–2L
2.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Caen and Al Wakrah.

Caen vs Al Wakrah head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Matsumoto Yamaga3 Ventforet Kofu0 142%2.50X26%3.20232%2.45 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.65 ✗
FT Espanyol1 Sabadell1 164%1.13X20%5.60216%18.00 1.9–1.1xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 57%@1.65 ✗
FT Laval1 Concarneau2 148%1.73X24%3.50228%4.00 1.7–1.4xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 51%@2.25 ✓
FT Luton2 Al Kholood0 166%1.45X19%3.90214%6.00 2.4–1.0xG 1Luton to win 66%@1.45 ✓
FT Kortrijk4 Knokke1 161%1.44X22%4.20217%5.50 2.3–1.2xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 66%@1.44 ✓
FT Sudtirol0 1. FC Kaiserslautern0 135%1.83X25%3.70240%3.40 1.5–1.9xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 61%@1.62 ✗
FT Santa Clara3 Arouca0 145%2.60X25%3.25230%2.38 1.4–1.0xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 56%@1.70 ✗
FT Lens2 Charleroi2 156%1.36X22%4.33222%7.00 2.0–1.6xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 81%@1.25 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Caen vs Al Wakrah?

Our pick is Over 2.5 goals with a 59% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.00.

Who will win Caen vs Al Wakrah?

On our numbers Caen have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Al Wakrah 44%.

How many goals will there be in Caen vs Al Wakrah?

We expect about 3.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 57% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Caen vs Al Wakrah?

Our predicted score is Caen 2–1 Al Wakrah, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.7 goals in total.

When is Caen vs Al Wakrah?

Caen vs Al Wakrah (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 25 July 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.