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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Turan v Qabala: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan

Turan

LWLDD
1–0
FT

Qabala

WWLLW
Turan 52%Draw 24%Qabala 24% Expected goals 1.47 – 0.90
78%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓

9/10Rating
1.20Odds

Picks by market

ResultTuran to win ✓52% · @2.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗54% · @1.90
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.01

Turan vs Qabala: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Qabala travel to face Turan on Friday 14 August in the Premyer Liqa – the ball rolls at 16:30 WAT. In the table, Turan are 2nd, among the top four, on 21 points after 11 matches; Qabala are 10th (in the drop zone) with 8. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Turan, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Sabah FA, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Qabala, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Mingəçevir, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Head to head

When they last met (24 Feb 2026) it ended Qabala 0–3 Turan.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Turan 1.5 xG, Qabala 0.9 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 54%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Turan 52%, draw 24%, Qabala 24%.
  • GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.90.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Turan 1–0 Qabala. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Turan52%fair 1.93 · @2.00
Draw24%fair 4.16 · @3.00
Qabala24%fair 4.13 · @3.70
2.36Expected goals
1.47Turan xG
0.90Qabala xG
54%Both score
42%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–014%
1–112%
2–010%
0–09%
2–19%
0–18%

From our goals model: Turan 1.5 – 0.9 Qabala expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTuran to win ✓52%1.932.00
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76%1.321.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗54%1.861.90
Draw no betTuran (draw no bet) ✓68%1.47–
Asian handicapQabala +1 (Asian handicap)66%1.51–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗67%1.491.42
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓58%1.731.60
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓78%1.281.20
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreTuran to score first ✓56%1.78–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Turan / FT Turan ✓30%3.32–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%11.01–

Recent results

Turan – last 6

LWLDDW
22 Mayvs Sabah FA1–2L
10 Mayvs Karvan1–0W
4 May@ Qarabag1–2L
27 Aprvs Zira1–1D
21 Apr@ Zira0–0D
17 Apr@ Araz3–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Qabala – last 6

WWLLWL
28 Mayvs Mingəçevir2–0W
21 Mayvs Şamaxı FK3–1W
19 Apr@ Sumqayıt0–1L
12 Aprvs Imisli FK0–1L
5 Apr@ Kapaz2–0W
15 Marvs Neftchi Baku1–3L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

24 Feb 2026Qabala v Turan0–3
Turan vs Qabala head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Turan vs Qabala?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.

Who will win Turan vs Qabala?

On our numbers Turan have a 52% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Qabala 24%.

How many goals will there be in Turan vs Qabala?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Turan vs Qabala?

Our predicted score is Turan 1–0 Qabala, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Turan vs Qabala?

Turan vs Qabala (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 14 August 2026 at 16:30 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.