Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Arezzo to win @ 3.60 – our chance 35% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +25%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultPalermo to win ✓42% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 13.05
Arezzo vs Palermo: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Palermo travel to face Arezzo on Sunday 30 August in the Serie B, with Stadio Città di Arezzo the venue – the ball rolls at 18:00 WAT. In the table, Arezzo are 14th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Palermo are 1st (leading the league) with 27. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Arezzo, last 5: WLWDL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Avellino, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Palermo, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juve Stabia, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Palermo, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.3 for Arezzo.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Arezzo 1.0 xG, Palermo 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Arezzo 35%, draw 23%, Palermo 42%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Arezzo to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Arezzo 1–1 Palermo. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Arezzo35%fair 2.88 · @3.60
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Palermo42%fair 2.38 · @2.10
2.14Expected goals
1.00Arezzo xG
1.14Palermo xG
51%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–113%
1–012%
0–012%
1–28%
0–28%
From our goals model: Arezzo 1.0 – 1.1 Palermo expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Palermo to win✓
42%
2.38
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
2.00
Draw no bet
Palermo (draw no bet)✓
55%
1.83
–
Asian handicap
Arezzo +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.64
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Palermo to score first✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Palermo / FT Palermo✓
22%
4.55
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
13.05
–
Recent results
Arezzo – last 6
WLWDLD
22 Aug
@ Avellino
2–1
W
14 Aug
@ Cagliari
0–1
L
9 Aug
vs Union Brescia
2–0
W
30 Jul
@ Parma
1–1
D
29 Jul
vs Albinoleffe
1–3
L
25 Jul
vs Folgore Caratese
1–1
D
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Palermo – last 6
WWLWDD
23 Aug
vs Juve Stabia
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Lecce
2–0
W
11 Aug
@ Juventus
0–2
L
7 Aug
@ Melbourne City
2–0
W
29 Jul
vs Iraklis 1908
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Nürnberg
2–2
D
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Arezzo and Palermo.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Arezzo vs Palermo?
On our numbers Arezzo have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Palermo 42%.
How many goals will there be in Arezzo vs Palermo?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Arezzo vs Palermo?
Our predicted score is Arezzo 1–1 Palermo, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Arezzo vs Palermo?
Arezzo vs Palermo (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Città di Arezzo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
