Very strong pick · fair odds 1.17 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
1
Value bet: Pisa to win @ 1.84 – our chance 61% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultPisa to win ✓61% · @1.84
Double chancePisa or draw ✓85% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓75% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✓10% · fair 10.30
Pisa vs Catanzaro: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 30 August the Serie B brings Pisa against Catanzaro at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani. Kick-off: 20:00 WAT. In the table, Pisa are 8th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Catanzaro are 20th (in the drop zone) with 6.
Current form
Pisa, last 5: LDWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Padova, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 5. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game.
Catanzaro, last 5: LDWWL Their latest outing: 2–3 defeat to Vicenza Virtus, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Pisa 1.9 xG, Catanzaro 0.8 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Pisa 61%, draw 24%, Catanzaro 15%.
Lower-risk option: Pisa or draw (85%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Pisa to win @1.84 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 61%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Pisa or draw (85%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.17, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Pisa 1–0 Catanzaro. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Pisa61%fair 1.63 · @1.84
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.30
Catanzaro15%fair 6.73 · @4.50
2.68Expected goals
1.87Pisa xG
0.81Catanzaro xG
53%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
2–012%
1–110%
2–110%
3–07%
0–07%
From our goals model: Pisa 1.9 – 0.8 Catanzaro expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Pisa to win✓
61%
1.63
1.84 ▲
Double chance
Pisa or draw✓
85%
1.17
1.20
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
53%
1.90
2.00 ▲
Draw no bet
Pisa (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Pisa -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.42
1.42
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.85
1.62
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
75%
1.34
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
88%
1.14
1.06
First team to score
Pisa to score first
65%
1.54
–
Half-time result
Pisa ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Pisa / FT Pisa✓
39%
2.54
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✓
10%
10.30
–
Recent results
Pisa – last 6
LDWLDW
23 Aug
vs Padova
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Empoli
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Bologna
4–1
W
26 Jul
vs PRO Vercelli
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Juventus U23
1–1
D
19 Jul
vs Pavia
6–1
W
2.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Catanzaro – last 6
LDWWLL
21 Aug
@ Vicenza Virtus
2–3
L
15 Aug
vs Sudtirol
2–2
D
5 Aug
vs Giugliano
3–0
W
29 May
@ Monza
2–0
W
24 May
vs Monza
0–2
L
20 May
@ Palermo
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Pisa and Catanzaro.
Our pick is Pisa or draw with a 85% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Pisa vs Catanzaro?
On our numbers Pisa have a 61% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Catanzaro 15%.
How many goals will there be in Pisa vs Catanzaro?
We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Pisa vs Catanzaro?
Our predicted score is Pisa 1–0 Catanzaro, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.
When is Pisa vs Catanzaro?
Pisa vs Catanzaro (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Arena Garibaldi - Stadio Romeo Anconetani.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
