Very strong pick · fair odds 1.28 · bookmaker 1.25 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.25Odds
2
Value bet: Empoli to win @ 3.50 – our chance 34% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +19%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultMantova to win ✓43% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗78% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.48
Mantova vs Empoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Mantova welcome Empoli to Stadio Danilo Martelli for a Serie B fixture on Sunday 30 August (18:00 WAT). In the table, Mantova are 4th, among the top four, on 19 points after 11 matches; Empoli are 19th (in the drop zone) with 9.
Current form
Mantova, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Carrarese, away. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Empoli, last 5: WDDDW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Cremonese, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Mantova 1.2 xG, Empoli 1.0 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 51%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Mantova 43%, draw 23%, Empoli 34%.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Empoli to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (78%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Mantova 1–1 Empoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Mantova43%fair 2.32 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Empoli34%fair 2.94 · @3.50
2.23Expected goals
1.21Mantova xG
1.03Empoli xG
51%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–111%
0–011%
2–18%
2–08%
From our goals model: Mantova 1.2 – 1.0 Empoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Mantova to win✓
43%
2.32
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
51%
1.97
1.83
Draw no bet
Mantova (draw no bet)✓
56%
1.79
–
Asian handicap
Empoli +1 (Asian handicap)✗
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.38
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
58%
1.71
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
1.08
First team to score
Mantova to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Mantova / FT Mantova✗
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.48
–
Recent results
Mantova – last 6
WWLWWL
22 Aug
@ Carrarese
2–1
W
16 Aug
@ Lazio
2–0
W
9 Aug
vs Athletic Carpi
0–1
L
6 Aug
@ Legnago Salus
3–1
W
30 Jul
vs Alcione
6–2
W
8 May
@ Frosinone
0–5
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Empoli – last 6
WDDDWD
22 Aug
vs Cremonese
1–0
W
17 Aug
@ Pisa
1–1
D
8 Aug
@ Livorno
1–1
D
1 Aug
vs Spezia
1–1
D
25 Jul
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
8 May
@ Monza
2–2
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Mantova and Empoli.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 78% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Mantova vs Empoli?
On our numbers Mantova have a 43% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Empoli 34%.
How many goals will there be in Mantova vs Empoli?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Mantova vs Empoli?
Our predicted score is Mantova 1–1 Empoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Mantova vs Empoli?
Mantova vs Empoli (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Danilo Martelli.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
