Very strong pick · fair odds 1.23 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 3.60 – our chance 38% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +35%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBenevento to win ✗39% · @2.10
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @2.00
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗7% · fair 13.64
Benevento vs Sudtirol: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
20:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Benevento v Sudtirol in the Serie B, played at Stadio Ciro Vigorito. In the table, Benevento are 6th, upper half, on 16 points after 11 matches; Sudtirol are 12th (lower half) with 15. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Benevento, last 5: LLWDW Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Modena, at home. 2.2 goals per outing makes them dangerous.
Sudtirol, last 5: WDWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Virtus Entella, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Benevento 1.1 xG, Sudtirol 1.1 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 62%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Benevento 39%, draw 23%, Sudtirol 38%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 2.00.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 38%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (81%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Benevento39%fair 2.55 · @2.10
Draw23%fair 4.30 · @3.15
Sudtirol38%fair 2.67 · @3.60
2.14Expected goals
1.09Benevento xG
1.05Sudtirol xG
52%Both score
38%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–012%
2–17%
1–27%
From our goals model: Benevento 1.1 – 1.1 Sudtirol expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Benevento to win✗
39%
2.55
2.10
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.91
2.00
Draw no bet
Benevento (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Sudtirol +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
64%
1.56
1.45
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
1.20
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
Benevento to score first
45%
2.23
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.08
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Benevento / FT Benevento✗
20%
4.95
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
7%
13.64
–
Recent results
Benevento – last 6
LLWDWW
22 Aug
vs Modena
1–2
L
14 Aug
@ Fiorentina
1–4
L
9 Aug
vs Ravenna
5–3
W
1 Aug
@ Frosinone
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Vis Pesaro
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Ostia Mare
2–0
W
2.2Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Sudtirol – last 6
WDWDDD
22 Aug
vs Virtus Entella
1–0
W
15 Aug
@ Catanzaro
2–2
D
7 Aug
vs Virtus Verona
1–0
W
25 Jul
vs 1. FC Kaiserslautern
0–0
D
22 May
vs Bari
0–0
D
8 May
vs Juve Stabia
1–1
D
0.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Benevento and Sudtirol.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 81% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Benevento vs Sudtirol?
On our numbers Benevento have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Sudtirol 38%.
How many goals will there be in Benevento vs Sudtirol?
We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 38% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Benevento vs Sudtirol?
Our predicted score is Benevento 1–1 Sudtirol, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.
When is Benevento vs Sudtirol?
Benevento vs Sudtirol (Serie B) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciro Vigorito.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
