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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Catanzaro v Carrarese: numbers & prediction

Serie B · Italy · Stadio Nicola Ceravolo
1–0
FT
Catanzaro 46%Draw 23%Carrarese 31% Expected goals 1.50 – 1.17
51%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Fair pick · fair odds 1.95 · bookmaker 1.85 · Lost ✗

3/10Rating
1.85Odds
2

Value bet: Carrarese to win @ 3.50 – our chance 31% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultCatanzaro to win ✓46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗51% · @1.85
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75% · fair 1.34
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.99

Catanzaro vs Carrarese: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

16:15 WAT, Saturday 12 September: Catanzaro v Carrarese in the Serie B, played at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. In the table, Catanzaro are 20th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Carrarese are 17th (lower half) with 10.

Current form

Catanzaro, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sudtirol, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Carrarese, last 5: LDLLW Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Empoli, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.

Momentum favours Catanzaro, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Carrarese.

Head to head

When they last met (4 Mar 2026) it ended Carrarese 3–3 Catanzaro.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Catanzaro 1.5 xG, Carrarese 1.2 xG – a total near 2.7. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 51%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Catanzaro 46%, draw 23%, Carrarese 31%.
  • GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.85.
  • Price worth noting: Carrarese to win @3.50 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 31%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (51%, odds 1.85). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catanzaro 1–1 Carrarese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Catanzaro46%fair 2.18 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.32 · @3.10
Carrarese31%fair 3.23 · @3.50
2.67Expected goals
1.50Catanzaro xG
1.17Carrarese xG
51%Both score
50%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–112%
1–010%
2–19%
0–18%
2–08%
1–27%

From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.5 – 1.2 Carrarese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultCatanzaro to win ✓46%2.182.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77%1.301.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗51%1.951.85
Draw no betCatanzaro (draw no bet) ✓60%1.68–
Asian handicapCarrarese +1 (Asian handicap)71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗75%1.34–
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓50%2.00–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓72%1.39–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓87%1.15–
First team to scoreCatanzaro to score first ✓52%1.92–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓42%2.36–
Half-time / full-timeHT Catanzaro / FT Catanzaro ✗26%3.78–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9%10.99–

Recent results

Catanzaro – last 6

LLLDWW
5 Sep@ Sudtirol0–2L
30 Aug@ Pisa1–2L
21 Aug@ Vicenza Virtus2–3L
15 Augvs Sudtirol2–2D
5 Augvs Giugliano3–0W
29 May@ Monza2–0W
1.7Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Carrarese – last 6

LDLLWL
5 Sepvs Empoli0–1L
29 Aug@ Ascoli1–1D
22 Augvs Mantova1–2L
15 Aug@ Torino0–1L
8 Aug@ Virtus Entella1–0W
26 Jul@ Napoli0–2L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Head to head

4 Mar 2026Carrarese v Catanzaro3–3
Catanzaro vs Carrarese head-to-head page →

Serie B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Palermo11830+1227
2Modena11722+1023
3Ascoli11551+1020
4Mantova11542+419
5Avellino11443+516
6Benevento11443+416
7Hellas Verona11443+616
8Pisa11443+316
9Cremonese11434+215
10Padova11434-115
11Cesena11362-215
12Sudtirol11362+115
13Juve Stabia11443+112
14Arezzo11326-1111
15Sampdoria11326-711
16Virtus Entella11245-310
17Carrarese11317-510
18Vicenza Virtus11236-109
19Empoli11236-79
20Catanzaro11137-126

More Serie B predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 51% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.85.

Who will win Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

On our numbers Catanzaro have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Carrarese 31%.

How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

We expect about 2.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Carrarese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.7 goals in total.

When is Catanzaro vs Carrarese?

Catanzaro vs Carrarese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.