Value bet: Cesena to win @ 3.10 – our chance 36% vs 32% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultCremonese to win ✗41% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.35
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗76% · fair 1.32
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.06
Cesena vs Cremonese: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 12 September the Serie B brings Cesena against Cremonese at Stadio Dino Manuzzi. Kick-off: 18:30 WAT. In the table, Cesena are 11th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Cremonese are 9th (upper half) with 15. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Cesena, last 5: DWDLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Mantova, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Cremonese, last 5: WWLLW Their latest outing: 3–1 win over Padova, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Cesena 1.2 xG, Cremonese 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Cesena 36%, draw 23%, Cremonese 41%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.73.
Price worth noting: Cesena to win @3.10 – the bookmaker implies 32%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Cesena 1–1 Cremonese. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Cesena36%fair 2.75 · @3.10
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.10
Cremonese41%fair 2.46 · @2.20
2.50Expected goals
1.20Cesena xG
1.30Cremonese xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Cesena 1.2 – 1.3 Cremonese expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Cremonese to win✗
41%
2.46
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.35
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.79
1.73
Draw no bet
Cremonese (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Cesena +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Cremonese to score first✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Cremonese / FT Cremonese✗
22%
4.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.06
–
Recent results
Cesena – last 6
DWDLDW
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
23 Aug
vs Sampdoria
1–1
D
17 Aug
@ Sassuolo
0–3
L
8 Aug
@ Forli
0–0
D
5 Aug
vs Vis Pesaro
3–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Cremonese – last 6
WWLLWD
6 Sep
vs Padova
3–1
W
1 Sep
@ Parma
2–0
W
28 Aug
vs Modena
0–3
L
22 Aug
@ Empoli
0–1
L
17 Aug
vs Sampdoria
2–0
W
1 Aug
vs Lumezzane
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
17%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Cesena and Cremonese.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Cesena vs Cremonese?
On our numbers Cesena have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Cremonese 41%.
How many goals will there be in Cesena vs Cremonese?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Cesena vs Cremonese?
Our predicted score is Cesena 1–1 Cremonese, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Cesena vs Cremonese?
Cesena vs Cremonese (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 12 September 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Dino Manuzzi.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
