Catanzaro vs Ascoli: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
16:15 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Catanzaro v Ascoli in the Serie B, played at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo. In the table, Catanzaro are 20th, in the drop zone, on 6 points after 11 matches; Ascoli are 3rd (among the top four) with 20. There are 14 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Catanzaro, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Hellas Verona, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.8 conceded per game.
Ascoli, last 5: DDWLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Empoli, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.7 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Ascoli, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.7 for Catanzaro.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Catanzaro 1.2 xG, Ascoli 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 46%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Catanzaro 35%, draw 23%, Ascoli 42%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.65.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (56%, odds 1.65). Most likely score in line with that pick: Catanzaro 1–1 Ascoli. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Catanzaro35%fair 2.83 · @2.62
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.10
Ascoli42%fair 2.40 · @2.50
2.50Expected goals
1.18Catanzaro xG
1.32Ascoli xG
56%Both score
46%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
1–28%
0–08%
2–18%
From our goals model: Catanzaro 1.2 – 1.3 Ascoli expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ascoli to win✓
42%
2.40
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✓
77%
1.30
1.33
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.78
1.65
Draw no bet
Ascoli (draw no bet)✓
54%
1.85
–
Asian handicap
Catanzaro +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
60%
1.66
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
71%
1.40
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
54%
1.84
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
76%
1.32
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Ascoli to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ascoli / FT Ascoli✓
23%
4.36
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
11.89
–
Recent results
Catanzaro – last 6
DLLWLL
16 Oct
@ Hellas Verona
2–2
D
11 Oct
vs Mantova
1–3
L
19 Sep
@ Sampdoria
1–2
L
12 Sep
vs Carrarese
1–0
W
5 Sep
@ Sudtirol
0–2
L
30 Aug
@ Pisa
1–2
L
1.0Scored / game
1.8Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Ascoli – last 6
DDWLWD
17 Oct
vs Empoli
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Sudtirol
0–0
D
19 Sep
vs Avellino
3–1
W
12 Sep
@ Padova
0–1
L
5 Sep
vs Benevento
1–0
W
29 Aug
vs Carrarese
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Catanzaro and Ascoli.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 56% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.65.
Who will win Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
On our numbers Catanzaro have a 35% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Ascoli 42%.
How many goals will there be in Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 46% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Our predicted score is Catanzaro 1–1 Ascoli, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Catanzaro vs Ascoli?
Catanzaro vs Ascoli (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 16:15 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Nicola Ceravolo.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
