Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.53 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.53Odds
Picks by market
ResultModena to win ✓65% · @1.53
Double chanceModena or draw ✓89% · @1.12
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.61
Modena vs Cesena: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Cesena travel to face Modena on Saturday 24 October in the Serie B, with Stadio Alberto Braglia the venue – the ball rolls at 14:00 WAT. In the table, Modena are 2nd, among the top four, on 23 points after 11 matches; Cesena are 11th (lower half) with 15.
Current form
Modena, last 5: LWWDL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Carrarese, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.
Cesena, last 5: DLDDD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Avellino, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Momentum favours Modena, collecting 1.7 points per game to 1.2 for Cesena.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Modena 1.9 xG, Cesena 0.7 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 53%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Modena 65%, draw 24%, Cesena 11%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Modena to win (65%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Modena 1–0 Cesena. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Modena65%fair 1.54 · @1.53
Draw24%fair 4.21 · @3.90
Cesena11%fair 8.82 · @5.50
2.64Expected goals
1.93Modena xG
0.71Cesena xG
53%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
2–013%
1–110%
2–19%
3–09%
0–07%
From our goals model: Modena 1.9 – 0.7 Cesena expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Modena to win✓
65%
1.54
1.53
Double chance
Modena or draw✓
89%
1.13
1.12
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.88
1.80
Draw no bet
Modena (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Modena -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
51%
1.97
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
87%
1.15
–
First team to score
Modena to score first✓
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Modena ahead at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Modena / FT Modena✓
43%
2.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.61
–
Recent results
Modena – last 6
LWWDLW
17 Oct
@ Carrarese
1–2
L
11 Oct
vs Hellas Verona
3–2
W
20 Sep
vs Empoli
2–1
W
12 Sep
@ Sudtirol
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Avellino
0–1
L
28 Aug
@ Cremonese
3–0
W
1.7Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
67%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Cesena – last 6
DLDDDW
18 Oct
vs Avellino
1–1
D
10 Oct
@ Benevento
0–2
L
18 Sep
@ Juve Stabia
1–1
D
12 Sep
vs Cremonese
2–2
D
6 Sep
vs Mantova
1–1
D
29 Aug
@ Virtus Entella
2–1
W
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
83%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Modena and Cesena.
Our pick is Modena to win with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Modena vs Cesena?
On our numbers Modena have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Cesena 11%.
How many goals will there be in Modena vs Cesena?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Modena vs Cesena?
Our predicted score is Modena 1–0 Cesena, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Modena vs Cesena?
Modena vs Cesena (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Alberto Braglia.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
