Value bet: Sudtirol to win @ 2.80 – our chance 42% vs 36% implied by the price (edge +18%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSudtirol to win ✗42% · @2.80
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓55% · @1.83
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓74% · fair 1.35
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.44
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
14:00 WAT, Saturday 24 October: Sudtirol v Sampdoria in the Serie B, played at Stadio Marco Druso. In the table, Sudtirol are 12th, lower half, on 15 points after 11 matches; Sampdoria are 15th (lower half) with 11.
Current form
Sudtirol, last 5: LDLWL Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Juve Stabia, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Sampdoria, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Arezzo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.3 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (1 May 2026) it ended Sampdoria 1–0 Sudtirol.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sudtirol 1.4 xG, Sampdoria 1.2 xG – a total near 2.6. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 49%, GG 55%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sudtirol 42%, draw 24%, Sampdoria 34%.
GG/NG: GG (55%) at 1.83.
Price worth noting: Sudtirol to win @2.80 – the bookmaker implies 36%, our ratings say 42%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (55%, odds 1.83). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sudtirol42%fair 2.37 · @2.80
Draw24%fair 4.13 · @3.00
Sampdoria34%fair 2.98 · @2.50
2.64Expected goals
1.41Sudtirol xG
1.23Sampdoria xG
55%Both score
49%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
1–010%
0–19%
2–19%
1–28%
0–07%
From our goals model: Sudtirol 1.4 – 1.2 Sampdoria expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 55% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.83.
Who will win Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
On our numbers Sudtirol have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sampdoria 34%.
How many goals will there be in Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
We expect about 2.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 49% likely and both teams score 55% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
Our predicted score is Sudtirol 1–1 Sampdoria, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.6 goals in total.
When is Sudtirol vs Sampdoria?
Sudtirol vs Sampdoria (Serie B) kicks off on Saturday 24 October 2026 at 14:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Marco Druso.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
