Qabala 56%Draw 23%Şamaxı FK 21%Expected goals 1.05 – 0.45
79%
Betarazi pick
Qabala or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.27 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
9/10Rating
1.22Odds
Picks by market
ResultQabala to win ✗56% · @1.85
Double chanceQabala or draw ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.73
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗23% · fair 4.27
Qabala vs Şamaxı FK: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Saturday 29 August the Premyer Liqa brings Qabala against Şamaxı FK. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Qabala are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Şamaxı FK are 7th (lower half) with 14.
Current form
Qabala, last 5: LLWWL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Safa Baku, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Şamaxı FK, last 5: DLLLW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Turan, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.
Head to head
When they last met (21 May 2026) it ended Qabala 3–1 Şamaxı FK.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 1.1 xG, Şamaxı FK 0.4 xG – a total near 1.5. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 81%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 56%, draw 23%, Şamaxı FK 21%.
Lower-risk option: Qabala or draw (79%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.73.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Qabala or draw (79%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 1–0 Şamaxı FK. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qabala56%fair 1.79 · @1.85
Draw23%fair 4.37 · @3.10
Şamaxı FK21%fair 4.69 · @3.90
1.50Expected goals
1.05Qabala xG
0.45Şamaxı FK xG
47%Both score
19%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–023%
0–022%
2–012%
1–111%
0–110%
2–16%
From our goals model: Qabala 1.1 – 0.4 Şamaxı FK expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Qabala or draw with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
On our numbers Qabala have a 56% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Şamaxı FK 21%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
We expect about 1.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 19% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
Our predicted score is Qabala 1–0 Şamaxı FK, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Şamaxı FK?
Qabala vs Şamaxı FK (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 29 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
