Very strong pick · fair odds 1.19 · bookmaker 1.22 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.22Odds
U2.5
Value bet: Under 2.5 goals @ 1.62 – our chance 67% vs 62% implied by the price (edge +8%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultTuran to win ✗62% · @1.73
Double chanceTuran or draw ✗85% · @1.13
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.70
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗24% · fair 4.23
Kapaz vs Turan: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 30 August: Kapaz v Turan in the Premyer Liqa, played at Ganja City Stadium. In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Turan are 2nd (among the top four) with 21.
Current form
Kapaz, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Sabah FA, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Turan, last 5: DWLWL Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Turan, collecting 1.3 points per game to 0.5 for Kapaz.
Head to head
When they last met (15 Mar 2026) it ended Kapaz 1–1 Turan. The last 2 head-to-heads: Kapaz 0 wins, Turan 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.0 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 0.4 xG, Turan 1.3 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 15%, draw 23%, Turan 62%.
Lower-risk option: Turan or draw (85%) at 1.13.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.70.
Price worth noting: Under 2.5 goals @1.62 – the bookmaker implies 62%, our ratings say 67%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (84%, odds 1.22 – longer than our fair 1.19, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 0–1 Turan. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz15%fair 6.62 · @4.50
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.30
Turan62%fair 1.61 · @1.73
1.69Expected goals
0.41Kapaz xG
1.28Turan xG
47%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–124%
0–018%
0–215%
1–110%
1–08%
0–36%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.4 – 1.3 Turan expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 84% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Kapaz vs Turan?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Turan 62%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Turan?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Turan?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Turan, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Turan?
Kapaz vs Turan (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
