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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Imisli FK v Neftchi Baku: numbers & prediction

Premyer Liqa · Azerbaidjan · Yevlakh City Stadium
2–3
FT
Imisli FK 12%Draw 21%Neftchi Baku 67% Expected goals 0.77 – 2.11
67%
Betarazi pick

Neftchi Baku to win

Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds

Picks by market

ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✓67% · @1.44
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @1.95
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78% · fair 1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.38

Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Neftchi Baku travel to face Imisli FK on Friday 11 September in the Premyer Liqa, with Yevlakh City Stadium the venue – the ball rolls at 13:30 WAT. In the table, Imisli FK are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 11 matches; Neftchi Baku are 1st (leading the league) with 24. There are 13 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.

Current form

Imisli FK, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Qabala, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Neftchi Baku, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Safa Baku, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.5 a game lately.

Momentum favours Neftchi Baku, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Imisli FK.

Head to head

When they last met (20 Mar 2026) it ended Neftchi Baku 6–0 Imisli FK.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Imisli FK 0.8 xG, Neftchi Baku 2.1 xG – a total near 2.9. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 55%, GG 53%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Imisli FK 12%, draw 21%, Neftchi Baku 67%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 1.95.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku to win (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Imisli FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Imisli FK12%fair 8.64 · @6.00
Draw21%fair 4.72 · @3.70
Neftchi Baku67%fair 1.49 · @1.44
2.88Expected goals
0.77Imisli FK xG
2.11Neftchi Baku xG
53%Both score
55%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

0–212%
0–112%
1–210%
1–19%
0–39%
1–37%

From our goals model: Imisli FK 0.8 – 2.1 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultNeftchi Baku to win ✓67%1.491.44
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓88%1.131.10
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.881.95
Draw no betNeftchi Baku (draw no bet) ✓85%1.17–
Asian handicapNeftchi Baku -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓68%1.47–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓78%1.28–
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓55%1.82–
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗67%1.48–
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✗84%1.20–
First team to scoreNeftchi Baku to score first69%1.45–
Half-time resultNeftchi Baku ahead at half-time ✗49%2.04–
Half-time / full-timeHT Neftchi Baku / FT Neftchi Baku ✗44%2.25–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10%10.38–

Recent results

Imisli FK – last 6

LWLDDD
4 Sep@ Qabala1–2L
29 Aug@ Safa Baku1–0W
22 Aug@ Zira1–3L
15 Aug@ Araz0–0D
24 Mayvs Karvan1–1D
8 Mayvs Zira0–0D
0.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Neftchi Baku – last 6

WLWWWL
5 Sepvs Safa Baku4–1W
30 Aug@ Zira0–1L
23 Augvs Araz5–0W
16 Aug@ Sumqayıt3–1W
30 Jul@ Dinamo Minsk1–0W
22 Julvs Dinamo Minsk2–4L
2.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
50%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Head to head

20 Mar 2026Neftchi Baku v Imisli FK6–0
Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku head-to-head page →

Premyer Liqa table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Neftchi Baku11731+1524
2Turan11632+421
3Sabah FA10631+1621
4Qarabag10541+619
5Zira11542+119
6Kapaz10523017
7Şamaxı FK11353+114
8Imisli FK11326-611
9Sumqayıt10244-110
10Qabala11227-128
11Safa Baku11128-125
12Araz11047-124

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku?

Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku?

On our numbers Imisli FK have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Neftchi Baku 67%.

How many goals will there be in Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku?

We expect about 2.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 55% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku?

Our predicted score is Imisli FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.9 goals in total.

When is Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku?

Imisli FK vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Friday 11 September 2026 at 13:30 (West Africa Time) at Yevlakh City Stadium.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.