Safa Baku 16%Draw 18%Sabah FA 66%Expected goals 0.66 – 1.77
66%
Betarazi pick
Sabah FA to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.25Odds
Picks by market
ResultSabah FA to win ✓66% · @1.25
Double chanceSabah FA or draw ✓84% · @1.06
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.85
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · fair 1.29
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗16% · fair 6.43
Safa Baku vs Sabah FA: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Monday 14 September the Premyer Liqa brings Safa Baku against Sabah FA at ASK Arena. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Safa Baku are 11th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Sabah FA are 3rd (among the top four) with 21. There are 16 points between them, and the seasons have gone in opposite directions.
Current form
Safa Baku, last 5: LLWLL Their latest outing: 1–4 defeat to Neftchi Baku, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Sabah FA, last 5: LWWWL Their latest outing: 0–4 defeat to Manchester United, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.0 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sabah FA, collecting 2.0 points per game to 0.7 for Safa Baku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Safa Baku 0.7 xG, Sabah FA 1.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 46%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Safa Baku 16%, draw 18%, Sabah FA 66%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.85.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sabah FA to win (66%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Safa Baku 0–1 Sabah FA. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Safa Baku16%fair 6.41 · @10.00
Draw18%fair 5.45 · @4.80
Sabah FA66%fair 1.51 · @1.25
2.43Expected goals
0.66Safa Baku xG
1.77Sabah FA xG
46%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–214%
1–110%
1–29%
0–09%
0–38%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 0.7 – 1.8 Sabah FA expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sabah FA to win✓
66%
1.51
1.25
Double chance
Sabah FA or draw✓
84%
1.18
1.06
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
1.85
Draw no bet
Sabah FA (draw no bet)✓
81%
1.24
–
Asian handicap
Sabah FA -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.56
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.29
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.11
–
First team to score
Sabah FA to score first✓
66%
1.51
–
Half-time result
Sabah FA ahead at half-time✓
44%
2.25
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sabah FA / FT Sabah FA✓
40%
2.49
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
16%
6.43
–
Recent results
Safa Baku – last 6
LLWLLD
5 Sep
@ Neftchi Baku
1–4
L
29 Aug
vs Imisli FK
0–1
L
22 Aug
@ Qabala
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Zira
0–2
L
22 May
@ Zaqatala
1–2
L
6 May
@ Difai Ağsu
0–0
D
0.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Sabah FA – last 6
LWWWLW
10 Sep
@ Manchester United
0–4
L
5 Sep
vs Zira
5–0
W
31 Aug
@ Araz
1–0
W
25 Aug
vs Hapoel Beer Sheva
3–2
W
19 Aug
@ Hapoel Beer Sheva
1–2
L
15 Aug
vs Kapaz
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Sabah FA.
Our pick is Sabah FA to win with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 16% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Sabah FA 66%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 0–1 Sabah FA, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Sabah FA?
Safa Baku vs Sabah FA (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Monday 14 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at ASK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
