Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.67 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.67Odds
Picks by market
ResultQarabag to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗79% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓63% · @1.67
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 10.91
Zira vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 13 September the Premyer Liqa brings Zira against Qarabag at Zira Stadium. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Zira are 5th, upper half, on 19 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Zira, last 5: LWWWD Their latest outing: 0–5 defeat to Sabah FA, away. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.3 conceded per game.
Qarabag, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 3–2 win over Araz, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 2.5 points per game to 1.7 for Zira.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Zira 1.4 xG, Qarabag 1.7 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 61% for three or more goals, 63% for GG.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Zira 32%, draw 21%, Qarabag 46%.
GG/NG: GG (63%) at 1.67.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (63%, odds 1.67 – longer than our fair 1.60, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Zira 1–1 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Zira32%fair 3.12 · @3.00
Draw21%fair 4.66 · @3.30
Qarabag46%fair 2.15 · @2.05
3.14Expected goals
1.40Zira xG
1.74Qarabag xG
63%Both score
61%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–111%
1–29%
0–18%
2–17%
0–27%
2–26%
From our goals model: Zira 1.4 – 1.7 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✗
46%
2.15
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
79%
1.27
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
63%
1.60
1.67
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)
59%
1.69
–
Asian handicap
Zira +1 (Asian handicap)✓
69%
1.45
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✗
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
62%
1.62
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
79%
1.26
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first
53%
1.89
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
38%
2.60
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
28%
3.62
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
10.91
–
Recent results
Zira – last 6
LWWWDL
5 Sep
@ Sabah FA
0–5
L
30 Aug
vs Neftchi Baku
1–0
W
22 Aug
vs Imisli FK
3–1
W
16 Aug
vs Safa Baku
2–0
W
30 Jul
vs Paide
1–1
D
23 Jul
@ Paide
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Qarabag – last 6
WWLWWW
6 Sep
vs Araz
3–2
W
31 Aug
@ Sumqayıt
1–0
W
27 Aug
vs Twente
1–2
L
20 Aug
@ Twente
1–0
W
17 Aug
vs Şamaxı FK
3–1
W
13 Aug
vs Dynamo Kyiv
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Zira and Qarabag.
Our pick is Both teams to score with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.67.
Who will win Zira vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Zira have a 32% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Qarabag 46%.
How many goals will there be in Zira vs Qarabag?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 61% likely and both teams score 63% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Zira vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Zira 1–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Zira vs Qarabag?
Zira vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 13 September 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time) at Zira Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
