Very strong pick · fair odds 1.15 · bookmaker 1.20 · Won ✓
10/10Rating
1.20Odds
2
Value bet: Zira to win @ 1.83 – our chance 63% vs 55% implied by the price (edge +15%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultZira to win ✗63% · @1.83
Double chanceZira or draw ✓87% · @1.20
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓51% · @1.95
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗9% · fair 11.34
Kapaz vs Zira: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:30 WAT, Sunday 18 October: Kapaz v Zira in the Premyer Liqa, played at Ganja City Stadium. In the table, Kapaz are 6th, upper half, on 17 points after 10 matches; Zira are 5th (upper half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kapaz, last 5: WDWLW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Araz, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Zira, last 5: DLDLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Şamaxı FK, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Head to head
When they last met (9 Mar 2026) it ended Zira 2–2 Kapaz.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kapaz 0.6 xG, Zira 1.7 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 51%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kapaz 13%, draw 24%, Zira 63%.
Lower-risk option: Zira or draw (87%) at 1.20.
GG/NG: GG (51%) at 1.95.
Price worth noting: Zira to win @1.83 – the bookmaker implies 55%, our ratings say 63%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Zira or draw (87%, odds 1.20 – longer than our fair 1.15, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kapaz 0–1 Zira. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kapaz13%fair 7.49 · @4.00
Draw24%fair 4.17 · @3.10
Zira63%fair 1.60 · @1.83
2.31Expected goals
0.63Kapaz xG
1.68Zira xG
51%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–117%
0–214%
1–110%
0–010%
1–29%
0–38%
From our goals model: Kapaz 0.6 – 1.7 Zira expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Our pick is Zira or draw with a 87% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Kapaz vs Zira?
On our numbers Kapaz have a 13% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Zira 63%.
How many goals will there be in Kapaz vs Zira?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 51% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kapaz vs Zira?
Our predicted score is Kapaz 0–1 Zira, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Kapaz vs Zira?
Kapaz vs Zira (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 18 October 2026 at 15:30 (West Africa Time) at Ganja City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
