Qabala vs Qarabag: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Qarabag travel to face Qabala on Saturday 31 October in the Premyer Liqa – the ball rolls at 14:30 WAT. In the table, Qabala are 10th, in the drop zone, on 8 points after 11 matches; Qarabag are 4th (among the top four) with 19.
Current form
Qabala, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Mingəçevir, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 2.2 conceded per game.
Qarabag, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Sabah FA, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Qarabag, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.0 for Qabala.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Qabala 0.6 xG, Qarabag 1.9 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Qabala 12%, draw 18%, Qarabag 69%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.91.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Qarabag to win (69%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Qabala 0–1 Qarabag. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Qabala12%fair 8.32 · @7.50
Draw18%fair 5.41 · @4.20
Qarabag69%fair 1.44 · @1.36
2.47Expected goals
0.59Qabala xG
1.88Qarabag xG
52%Both score
45%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–116%
0–215%
1–19%
0–39%
1–29%
0–08%
From our goals model: Qabala 0.6 – 1.9 Qarabag expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Qarabag to win✗
69%
1.44
1.36
Double chance
Qarabag or draw✓
88%
1.14
1.08
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
52%
1.92
1.91
Draw no bet
Qarabag (draw no bet)
85%
1.17
–
Asian handicap
Qarabag -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
68%
1.46
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.42
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
55%
1.81
–
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
90%
1.12
–
First team to score
Qarabag to score first✗
70%
1.44
–
Half-time result
Qarabag ahead at half-time✗
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Qarabag / FT Qarabag✗
44%
2.29
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.34
–
Recent results
Qabala – last 6
WWLLLL
27 Oct
vs Mingəçevir
3–0
W
23 Oct
@ Araz
2–1
W
17 Oct
vs Sabah FA
0–4
L
10 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–4
L
18 Sep
vs Neftchi Baku
0–3
L
12 Sep
@ Kapaz
0–1
L
1.0Scored / game
2.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Qarabag – last 6
DDWWDW
25 Oct
@ Sabah FA
0–0
D
17 Oct
vs Neftchi Baku
3–3
D
11 Oct
@ Imisli FK
2–0
W
18 Sep
vs Safa Baku
1–0
W
13 Sep
@ Zira
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Araz
3–2
W
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Qabala and Qarabag.
Our pick is Qarabag to win with a 69% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Qabala vs Qarabag?
On our numbers Qabala have a 12% chance of winning, the draw 18% and Qarabag 69%.
How many goals will there be in Qabala vs Qarabag?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Qabala vs Qarabag?
Our predicted score is Qabala 0–1 Qarabag, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Qabala vs Qarabag?
Qabala vs Qarabag (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 31 October 2026 at 14:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
