Şamaxı FK 15%Draw 22%Neftchi Baku 63%Expected goals 0.95 – 2.11
63%
Betarazi pick
Neftchi Baku to win
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultNeftchi Baku to win ✓63% · @1.57
Double chanceNeftchi Baku or draw ✓85% · @1.14
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓56% · @1.80
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.24
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗10% · fair 10.08
Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 1 November the Premyer Liqa brings Şamaxı FK against Neftchi Baku at Shamakhi City Stadium. Kick-off: 12:00 WAT. In the table, Şamaxı FK are 7th, lower half, on 14 points after 11 matches; Neftchi Baku are 1st (leading the league) with 24.
Current form
Şamaxı FK, last 5: WLWDW Their latest outing: 5–1 win over Hypers Guba, away. The attack is flying at 2.2 goals per game.
Neftchi Baku, last 5: DDDWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Turan, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.3 goals per game.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Feb 2026) it ended Keshla FC 2–2 Neftchi Baku.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Şamaxı FK 1.0 xG, Neftchi Baku 2.1 xG – a total near 3.1. That is an open game on paper: 59% for three or more goals, 56% for GG. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Şamaxı FK 15%, draw 22%, Neftchi Baku 63%.
Lower-risk option: Neftchi Baku or draw (85%) at 1.14.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.80.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Neftchi Baku to win (63%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Şamaxı FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Şamaxı FK15%fair 6.57 · @5.00
Draw22%fair 4.62 · @3.60
Neftchi Baku63%fair 1.58 · @1.57
3.06Expected goals
0.95Şamaxı FK xG
2.11Neftchi Baku xG
56%Both score
59%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–210%
1–210%
0–110%
1–19%
0–37%
1–37%
From our goals model: Şamaxı FK 1.0 – 2.1 Neftchi Baku expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Our pick is Neftchi Baku to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
On our numbers Şamaxı FK have a 15% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Neftchi Baku 63%.
How many goals will there be in Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
We expect about 3.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 59% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Our predicted score is Şamaxı FK 0–2 Neftchi Baku, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.1 goals in total.
When is Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku?
Şamaxı FK vs Neftchi Baku (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Sunday 1 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time) at Shamakhi City Stadium.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
