Safa Baku vs Araz: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
13:00 WAT, Saturday 7 November: Safa Baku v Araz in the Premyer Liqa, played at ASK Arena. In the table, Safa Baku are 11th, in the drop zone, on 5 points after 11 matches; Araz are 12th (in the drop zone) with 4. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Safa Baku, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sumqayıt, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is no problem – 2.2 a game lately.
Araz, last 5: DWLLL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Zira, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.7 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Safa Baku 1.4 xG, Araz 1.4 xG – a total near 2.8. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 54%, GG 61%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Safa Baku 37%, draw 22%, Araz 41%.
GG/NG: GG (61%) at 1.57.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Safa Baku 1–1 Araz. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Safa Baku37%fair 2.69 · @2.50
Draw22%fair 4.61 · @3.30
Araz41%fair 2.43 · @2.50
2.80Expected goals
1.36Safa Baku xG
1.44Araz xG
61%Both score
54%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–112%
0–19%
1–29%
1–08%
2–18%
0–26%
From our goals model: Safa Baku 1.4 – 1.4 Araz expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Araz to win✗
41%
2.43
2.50
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.28
1.25
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
61%
1.63
1.57
Draw no bet
Araz (draw no bet)
52%
1.91
–
Asian handicap
Safa Baku +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
61%
1.65
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
77%
1.30
1.22
Over/under 2.5 goals
Over 2.5 goals✓
54%
1.85
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
First team to score
Araz to score first
48%
2.07
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
41%
2.42
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Araz / FT Araz✗
23%
4.35
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.65
–
Recent results
Safa Baku – last 6
DWLLLL
2 Nov
@ Sumqayıt
1–1
D
28 Oct
vs Ağstafa Gəncləri
9–2
W
24 Oct
vs Kapaz
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Şamaxı FK
2–3
L
11 Oct
vs Turan
0–1
L
18 Sep
@ Qarabag
0–1
L
2.2Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Araz – last 6
DWLLLL
31 Oct
vs Zira
2–2
D
27 Oct
@ Şimal
6–0
W
23 Oct
vs Qabala
1–2
L
16 Oct
@ Sumqayıt
1–2
L
9 Oct
vs Kapaz
0–2
L
20 Sep
@ Şamaxı FK
1–2
L
1.8Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
67%Both scored
83%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Safa Baku and Araz.
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Safa Baku vs Araz?
On our numbers Safa Baku have a 37% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Araz 41%.
How many goals will there be in Safa Baku vs Araz?
We expect about 2.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 54% likely and both teams score 61% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Safa Baku vs Araz?
Our predicted score is Safa Baku 1–1 Araz, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.8 goals in total.
When is Safa Baku vs Araz?
Safa Baku vs Araz (Premyer Liqa) kicks off on Saturday 7 November 2026 at 13:00 (West Africa Time) at ASK Arena.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
