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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Toulouse v Hamburger SV: numbers & prediction

Friendlies Clubs · World

Toulouse

WDLLL
1–2
FT

Hamburger SV

DLLWL
Toulouse 40%Draw 21%Hamburger SV 39% Expected goals 1.65 – 1.65
68%
Betarazi pick

Both teams to score

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.45 · Won ✓

7/10Rating
1.45Odds

Picks by market

ResultToulouse to win ✗40% · @2.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79% · @1.22
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓68% · @1.45
GoalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.05

Toulouse vs Hamburger SV: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Saturday 15 August the Friendlies Clubs brings Toulouse against Hamburger SV. Kick-off: 18:00 WAT.

Current form

Toulouse, last 5: WDLLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Real Sociedad, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 2.5 conceded per game.

Hamburger SV, last 5: DLLWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Lille, at home. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Toulouse, collecting 1.2 points per game to 0.7 for Hamburger SV.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Toulouse 1.7 xG, Hamburger SV 1.6 xG – a total near 3.3. Both nets should be busy – over 2.5 sits at 62% and GG at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to go over 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Toulouse 40%, draw 21%, Hamburger SV 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (68%) at 1.45.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Both teams to score (68%, odds 1.45). Most likely score in line with that pick: Toulouse 1–1 Hamburger SV. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Toulouse40%fair 2.52 · @2.54
Draw21%fair 4.76 · @3.60
Hamburger SV39%fair 2.54 · @2.50
3.30Expected goals
1.65Toulouse xG
1.65Hamburger SV xG
68%Both score
62%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–110%
2–18%
1–28%
2–27%
1–06%
0–16%

From our goals model: Toulouse 1.7 – 1.6 Hamburger SV expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultToulouse to win ✗40%2.522.54
Double chanceEither team to win ✓79%1.271.22
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓68%1.481.45
Draw no betToulouse (draw no bet) ✗50%1.99–
Asian handicapHamburger SV +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓61%1.63–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓82%1.221.18
Over/under 2.5 goalsOver 2.5 goals ✓62%1.611.57
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓59%1.681.55
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓77%1.301.22
First team to scoreToulouse to score first ✗48%2.07–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗37%2.67–
Half-time / full-timeHT Toulouse / FT Toulouse ✗23%4.34–
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8%12.05–

Recent results

Toulouse – last 6

WDLLLW
31 Julvs Real Sociedad2–1W
25 Julvs Rodez1–1D
21 Apr@ Lens1–4L
17 Apr@ Lens2–3L
3 Apr@ Paris Saint Germain1–3L
15 Mar@ Metz4–3W
1.8Scored / game
2.5Conceded / game
100%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Hamburger SV – last 6

DLLWLL
8 Augvs Lille2–2D
1 Augvs Everton1–2L
18 Jul@ Rapid Vienna2–3L
10 Mayvs SC Freiburg3–2W
4 Marvs Bayer Leverkusen0–1L
1 Marvs RB Leipzig1–2L
1.5Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Toulouse and Hamburger SV.

Toulouse vs Hamburger SV head-to-head page →

More Friendlies Clubs predictions

League hub
FT Gimnástica Segoviana0 Unionistas de Salamanca1 122%3.30X20%3.30258%1.95 0.8–1.5xG 2Unionistas de Salamanca to win 58%@1.95 ✓
FT Werder Bremen0 Auxerre1 151%1.97X20%3.85229%3.35 2.0–1.5xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.42 ✗
FT Chelsea3 Real Sociedad1 167%1.58X20%4.40213%4.80 2.5–1.1xG 1Chelsea to win 67%@1.58 ✓
FT Bayern München3 RB Leipzig1 170%1.35X18%5.40212%7.00 2.5–1.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 72%@1.25 ✓
FT Borussia Mönchengladbach2 Aston Villa1 142%3.00X19%4.10239%2.04 2.1–2.0xG O2.5Over 2.5 goals 74%@1.36 ✓
FT Union Berlin2 Ipswich4 137%2.70X21%3.65242%2.35 1.6–1.7xG GGBoth teams to score 67%@1.44 ✓
FT Leeds4 FC Augsburg0 163%1.80X20%3.60217%3.60 3.6–2.1xG 1XLeeds or draw 83%@1.25 ✓
FT Hull City0 Nice0 145%2.04X20%3.75235%3.20 1.5–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 78%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?

Our pick is Both teams to score with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.45.

Who will win Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?

On our numbers Toulouse have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Hamburger SV 39%.

How many goals will there be in Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?

We expect about 3.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 62% likely and both teams score 68% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?

Our predicted score is Toulouse 1–1 Hamburger SV, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 3.3 goals in total.

When is Toulouse vs Hamburger SV?

Toulouse vs Hamburger SV (Friendlies Clubs) kicks off on Saturday 15 August 2026 at 18:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.