Good pick · fair odds 1.59 · bookmaker 1.75 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.75Odds
Picks by market
ResultBragança to win ✗63% · @1.75
Double chanceBragança or draw ✗84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓58% · fair 1.73
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · fair 1.22
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.69
Bragança vs Montalegre: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A brings Bragança against Montalegre. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Bragança are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 8 matches; Montalegre are 6th (upper half) with 12.
Current form
Bragança, last 5: WWWWD Their latest outing: 6–1 win over Celoricense, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. The attack is flying at 2.8 goals per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Montalegre, last 5: DDDWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Maia Lidador, at home. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.6 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Bragança, collecting 2.7 points per game to 1.4 for Montalegre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bragança 1.6 xG, Montalegre 0.6 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 39%, GG 42%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bragança 63%, draw 21%, Montalegre 16%.
Lower-risk option: Bragança or draw (84%) at 1.17.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Bragança to win (63%, odds 1.75 – longer than our fair 1.59, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bragança 1–0 Montalegre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bragança63%fair 1.59 · @1.75
Draw21%fair 4.69 · @3.20
Montalegre16%fair 6.41 · @4.20
2.21Expected goals
1.60Bragança xG
0.61Montalegre xG
42%Both score
39%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–018%
2–014%
0–011%
1–111%
2–19%
3–07%
From our goals model: Bragança 1.6 – 0.6 Montalegre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Bragança to win✗
63%
1.59
1.75 ▲
Double chance
Bragança or draw✗
84%
1.18
1.17
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
58%
1.73
–
Draw no bet
Bragança (draw no bet)✗
80%
1.25
–
Asian handicap
Bragança -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
61%
1.63
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
65%
1.54
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
61%
1.64
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Bragança to score first✗
64%
1.55
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Bragança / FT Bragança✗
38%
2.65
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
18%
5.69
–
Recent results
Bragança – last 6
WWWWDW
20 Sep
vs Celoricense
6–1
W
13 Sep
vs Ponte da Barca
3–0
W
6 Sep
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
30 Aug
@ Rebordelo
4–0
W
23 Aug
vs SC Braga B
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Brito
3–2
W
2.8Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Montalegre – last 5
DDDWD
13 Sep
vs Maia Lidador
1–1
D
5 Sep
@ SC Braga B
2–2
D
30 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Brito
2–0
W
16 Aug
@ Celoricense
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.6Conceded / game
40%Both scored
20%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Bragança and Montalegre.
What is the prediction for Bragança vs Montalegre?
Our pick is Bragança to win with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.75.
Who will win Bragança vs Montalegre?
On our numbers Bragança have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Montalegre 16%.
How many goals will there be in Bragança vs Montalegre?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 39% likely and both teams score 42% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bragança vs Montalegre?
Our predicted score is Bragança 1–0 Montalegre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Bragança vs Montalegre?
Bragança vs Montalegre (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
