Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · fair 1.86
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · fair 1.31
Correct scoreCorrect score 0–1 ✗10% · fair 9.53
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 11 October the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A brings Ponte da Barca against Rebordosa. Kick-off: 15:00 WAT. In the table, Ponte da Barca are 10th, lower half, on 10 points after 8 matches; Rebordosa are 9th (lower half) with 10. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Ponte da Barca, last 5: LLLDW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Amarante, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Rebordosa, last 5: DWDLL Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Os Limianos, away. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Ponte da Barca 1.2 xG, Rebordosa 1.3 xG – a total near 2.5. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 50%, GG 46%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Ponte da Barca 38%, draw 23%, Rebordosa 39%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (50%, odds 2.05 – longer than our fair 1.98, so there is value too). Most likely score in line with that pick: Ponte da Barca 1–1 Rebordosa. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Ponte da Barca38%fair 2.65 · @2.50
Draw23%fair 4.35 · @3.10
Rebordosa39%fair 2.55 · @2.60
2.48Expected goals
1.23Ponte da Barca xG
1.26Rebordosa xG
46%Both score
50%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
0–110%
1–010%
0–08%
1–28%
2–18%
From our goals model: Ponte da Barca 1.2 – 1.3 Rebordosa expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Rebordosa to win✗
39%
2.55
2.60
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
54%
1.86
–
Draw no bet
Rebordosa (draw no bet)
51%
1.96
–
Asian handicap
Ponte da Barca +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
71%
1.41
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
50%
1.98
2.05
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
76%
1.31
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.12
–
First team to score
Rebordosa to score first✗
46%
2.15
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
44%
2.26
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Rebordosa / FT Rebordosa✗
21%
4.69
–
Correct score
Correct score 0–1✗
10%
9.53
–
Recent results
Ponte da Barca – last 6
LLLDWL
20 Sep
vs Amarante
0–2
L
13 Sep
@ Bragança
0–3
L
6 Sep
vs Os Limianos
2–3
L
30 Aug
@ Montalegre
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Maia Lidador
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs Vila Meã
1–2
L
0.7Scored / game
1.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Rebordosa – last 6
DWDLLL
27 Sep
@ Os Limianos
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Vila Meã
1–0
W
30 Aug
vs Alpendorada
1–1
D
23 Aug
@ Chaves II
0–1
L
16 Aug
vs Tirsense
0–1
L
31 May
@ Vianense
0–2
L
0.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Ponte da Barca and Rebordosa.
What is the prediction for Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 50% chance, at bookmaker odds of 2.05.
Who will win Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
On our numbers Ponte da Barca have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Rebordosa 39%.
How many goals will there be in Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
We expect about 2.5 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 50% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Our predicted score is Ponte da Barca 1–1 Rebordosa, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.5 goals in total.
When is Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa?
Ponte da Barca vs Rebordosa (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
