Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · fair 1.79
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · fair 1.23
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗12% · fair 8.21
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
15:00 WAT, Sunday 11 October: Maia Lidador v Maria da Fonte in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A. In the table, Maia Lidador are 8th, lower half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Maria da Fonte are 13th (in the drop zone) with 7.
Current form
Maia Lidador, last 5: LDLDL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to AD Marco 09, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.3 goals a game.
Maria da Fonte, last 5: LLLWL Their latest outing: 1–5 defeat to Paredes, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Momentum favours Maria da Fonte, collecting 1.0 points per game to 0.3 for Maia Lidador.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Maia Lidador 1.2 xG, Maria da Fonte 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 42%, GG 44%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Maia Lidador 40%, draw 22%, Maria da Fonte 37%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (58%, odds 1.73). Most likely score in line with that pick: Maia Lidador 1–1 Maria da Fonte. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Maia Lidador40%fair 2.49 · @2.20
Draw22%fair 4.46 · @3.20
Maria da Fonte37%fair 2.67 · @2.80
2.25Expected goals
1.15Maia Lidador xG
1.09Maria da Fonte xG
44%Both score
42%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
1–27%
From our goals model: Maia Lidador 1.2 – 1.1 Maria da Fonte expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Maia Lidador to win✗
40%
2.49
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
78%
1.29
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
56%
1.79
–
Draw no bet
Maia Lidador (draw no bet)
52%
1.93
–
Asian handicap
Maria da Fonte +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.59
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
58%
1.73
1.73
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.23
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.08
–
First team to score
Maia Lidador to score first
46%
2.18
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.13
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Maia Lidador / FT Maia Lidador✗
21%
4.78
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
12%
8.21
–
Recent results
Maia Lidador – last 6
LDLDLL
20 Sep
@ AD Marco 09
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Montalegre
1–1
D
6 Sep
vs Bragança
0–1
L
30 Aug
vs Vila Meã
0–0
D
23 Aug
vs Ponte da Barca
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ SC Braga B
1–2
L
0.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Maria da Fonte – last 6
LLLWLW
20 Sep
@ Paredes
1–5
L
13 Sep
vs SC Braga B
0–4
L
6 Sep
@ Brito
1–2
L
30 Aug
vs Uniao Nogueirense
1–0
W
23 Aug
vs Celoricense
0–1
L
16 Aug
@ Vinhais
1–0
W
0.7Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Maia Lidador and Maria da Fonte.
What is the prediction for Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 58% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.73.
Who will win Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
On our numbers Maia Lidador have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 22% and Maria da Fonte 37%.
How many goals will there be in Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 42% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Our predicted score is Maia Lidador 1–1 Maria da Fonte, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte?
Maia Lidador vs Maria da Fonte (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group A) kicks off on Sunday 11 October 2026 at 15:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
