Florgrade vs Ovarense: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Florgrade welcome Ovarense for a Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B fixture on Sunday 8 November (16:00 WAT). In the table, Florgrade are 7th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Ovarense are 1st (leading the league) with 22.
Current form
Florgrade, last 5: DWLLW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Castro Daire, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Ovarense, last 5: WWDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Alpendorada, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Florgrade 1.0 xG, Ovarense 1.4 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 56%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Florgrade 27%, draw 24%, Ovarense 48%.
GG/NG: GG (56%) at 1.78.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.22). Most likely score in line with that pick: Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Florgrade27%fair 3.64 · @3.32
Draw24%fair 4.15 · @2.94
Ovarense48%fair 2.06 · @2.08
2.35Expected goals
0.96Florgrade xG
1.39Ovarense xG
56%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–113%
1–113%
0–010%
0–29%
1–09%
1–29%
From our goals model: Florgrade 1.0 – 1.4 Ovarense expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Ovarense to win✓
48%
2.06
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.28
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
56%
1.77
1.78
Draw no bet
Ovarense (draw no bet)✓
64%
1.57
–
Asian handicap
Florgrade +1 (Asian handicap)✗
70%
1.43
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
69%
1.45
1.30
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
56%
1.77
1.68
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.31
1.22
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Ovarense to score first
54%
1.87
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
45%
2.21
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Ovarense / FT Ovarense✗
28%
3.63
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
9%
11.30
–
Recent results
Florgrade – last 6
DWLLWW
1 Nov
@ Castro Daire
1–1
D
25 Oct
vs Cinfães
2–0
W
17 Oct
vs Portimonense
1–2
L
10 Oct
@ Machico
0–4
L
27 Sep
@ Camacha
1–0
W
13 Sep
vs Sanjoanense
2–0
W
1.2Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Ovarense – last 6
WWDLWW
1 Nov
vs Alpendorada
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Salgueiros
2–0
W
11 Oct
vs Beira-Mar
2–2
D
20 Sep
vs Os Marialvas
0–1
L
13 Sep
@ Estrela Calheta
3–0
W
6 Sep
vs Sousense
2–0
W
1.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Florgrade and Ovarense.
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.22.
Who will win Florgrade vs Ovarense?
On our numbers Florgrade have a 27% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Ovarense 48%.
How many goals will there be in Florgrade vs Ovarense?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 56% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Florgrade vs Ovarense?
Our predicted score is Florgrade 0–1 Ovarense, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Florgrade vs Ovarense?
Florgrade vs Ovarense (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
