Good pick · fair odds 1.52 · bookmaker 1.35 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.35Odds
2
Value bet: Machico to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +16%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSanjoanense to win ✗41% · @2.08
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.27
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓52% · @1.88
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.98
Sanjoanense vs Machico: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
12:00 WAT, Sunday 8 November: Sanjoanense v Machico in the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B. In the table, Sanjoanense are 5th, upper half, on 12 points after 8 matches; Machico are 2nd (among the top four) with 16.
Current form
Sanjoanense, last 5: WLWWW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over União Lamas, away. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Machico, last 5: DWWWD Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Camacha, at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sanjoanense 1.2 xG, Machico 1.1 xG – a total near 2.2. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 52%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sanjoanense 41%, draw 23%, Machico 36%.
GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.88.
Price worth noting: Machico to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (66%, odds 1.35). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sanjoanense 1–1 Machico. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sanjoanense41%fair 2.46 · @2.08
Draw23%fair 4.33 · @3.04
Machico36%fair 2.76 · @3.20
2.22Expected goals
1.15Sanjoanense xG
1.06Machico xG
52%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–013%
0–112%
0–011%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Sanjoanense 1.2 – 1.1 Machico expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sanjoanense to win✗
41%
2.46
2.08
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.27
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
52%
1.92
1.88
Draw no bet
Sanjoanense (draw no bet)
53%
1.89
–
Asian handicap
Machico +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
62%
1.61
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
66%
1.52
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.58
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.26
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
–
First team to score
Sanjoanense to score first
46%
2.16
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
47%
2.12
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sanjoanense / FT Sanjoanense✗
21%
4.68
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.98
–
Recent results
Sanjoanense – last 6
WLWWWL
31 Oct
@ União Lamas
2–1
W
25 Oct
@ Camacha
1–2
L
17 Oct
vs Nacional
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Guarda
1–0
W
20 Sep
@ Ançã
4–1
W
13 Sep
@ Florgrade
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Machico – last 6
DWWWDD
1 Nov
vs Camacha
0–0
D
25 Oct
@ Guarda
1–0
W
10 Oct
vs Florgrade
4–0
W
13 Sep
@ Alpendorada
2–1
W
4 Sep
@ Salgueiros
1–1
D
30 Aug
vs Camacha
2–2
D
1.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sanjoanense and Machico.
What is the prediction for Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.35.
Who will win Sanjoanense vs Machico?
On our numbers Sanjoanense have a 41% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Machico 36%.
How many goals will there be in Sanjoanense vs Machico?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Our predicted score is Sanjoanense 1–1 Machico, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Sanjoanense vs Machico?
Sanjoanense vs Machico (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 12:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
