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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Salgueiros v Estrela Calheta: numbers & prediction

1–0
FT
Salgueiros 65%Draw 23%Estrela Calheta 12% Expected goals 1.74 – 0.61
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.32 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds

Picks by market

ResultSalgueiros to win ✓65% · @1.49
Double chanceSalgueiros or draw ✓88% · @1.05
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.67
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 6.03

Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 8 November the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B brings Salgueiros against Estrela Calheta. Kick-off: 16:00 WAT. In the table, Salgueiros are 6th, upper half, on 11 points after 8 matches; Estrela Calheta are 11th (lower half) with 6.

Current form

Salgueiros, last 5: DLDDW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Sousense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 4. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Estrela Calheta, last 5: DLWLD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Beira-Mar, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 2.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Salgueiros, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.8 for Estrela Calheta.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Salgueiros 1.7 xG, Estrela Calheta 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 45%, GG 49%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Salgueiros 65%, draw 23%, Estrela Calheta 12%.
  • GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.67.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Salgueiros 1–0 Estrela Calheta. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Salgueiros65%fair 1.54 · @1.49
Draw23%fair 4.40 · @3.58
Estrela Calheta12%fair 8.06 · @5.80
2.35Expected goals
1.74Salgueiros xG
0.61Estrela Calheta xG
49%Both score
45%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–017%
2–014%
1–110%
0–010%
2–19%
3–08%

From our goals model: Salgueiros 1.7 – 0.6 Estrela Calheta expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSalgueiros to win ✓65%1.541.49
Double chanceSalgueiros or draw ✓88%1.141.05
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✓51%1.951.67
Draw no betSalgueiros (draw no bet) ✓84%1.19–
Asian handicapSalgueiros -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓65%1.54–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.28
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓55%1.801.74
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.321.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓91%1.10–
First team to scoreSalgueiros to score first ✓67%1.49–
Half-time resultSalgueiros ahead at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Salgueiros / FT Salgueiros ✓41%2.46–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17%6.03–

Recent results

Salgueiros – last 6

DLDDWW
1 Nov@ Sousense1–1D
25 Octvs Ovarense0–2L
18 Octvs Estoril1–1D
11 Oct@ Castro Daire0–0D
19 Sepvs Feirense1–0W
13 Sepvs Cinfães1–0W
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5

Estrela Calheta – last 6

DLWLDL
1 Novvs Beira-Mar1–1D
25 Octvs União Lamas1–2L
11 Oct@ Sousense3–1W
4 Oct@ Castro Daire0–3L
27 Sepvs Cinfães2–2D
20 Sepvs Vianense1–3L
1.3Scored / game
2.0Conceded / game
83%Both scored
83%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Salgueiros and Estrela Calheta.

Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta head-to-head page →

Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Ovarense8710+1322
2Machico8440+816
3Camacha7430+615
4Castro Daire8341+413
5Sanjoanense8332+112
6Salgueiros8251011
7Florgrade8323-211
8União Lamas8233-39
9Beira-Mar8071-27
10Cinfães7133-26
11Estrela Calheta8134-66
12Alpendorada7124-45
13Guarda8116-64
14Sousense7034-73

More Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B predictions

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Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

On our numbers Salgueiros have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Estrela Calheta 12%.

How many goals will there be in Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 45% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

Our predicted score is Salgueiros 1–0 Estrela Calheta, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta?

Salgueiros vs Estrela Calheta (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group B) kicks off on Sunday 8 November 2026 at 16:00 (West Africa Time).

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.