O Elvas 46%Draw 23%Fátima 31%Expected goals 1.30 – 0.99
60%
Betarazi pick
Under 2.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.67 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓
5/10Rating
1.57Odds
Picks by market
ResultO Elvas to win ✗46% · @2.05
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗55% · fair 1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓80% · fair 1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.59
O Elvas vs Fátima: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
On Sunday 16 August the Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C brings O Elvas against Fátima at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino. Kick-off: 17:00 WAT. In the table, O Elvas are 3rd, among the top four, on 16 points after 8 matches; Fátima are 7th (upper half) with 11.
Current form
O Elvas, last 5: LDLWW Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Alcochetense, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Fátima, last 5: LLLWD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to Oliveira Hospital, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give O Elvas 1.3 xG, Fátima 1.0 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 40%, GG 45%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – O Elvas 46%, draw 23%, Fátima 31%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (60%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: O Elvas 1–0 Fátima. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
O Elvas46%fair 2.17 · @2.05
Draw23%fair 4.36 · @3.10
Fátima31%fair 3.23 · @3.30
2.29Expected goals
1.30O Elvas xG
0.99Fátima xG
45%Both score
40%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–013%
1–113%
0–010%
0–110%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: O Elvas 1.3 – 1.0 Fátima expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
O Elvas to win✗
46%
2.17
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✗
77%
1.30
1.28
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
55%
1.83
–
Draw no bet
O Elvas (draw no bet)
60%
1.67
–
Asian handicap
Fátima +1 (Asian handicap)✓
74%
1.35
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
67%
1.50
–
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
80%
1.25
–
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
–
First team to score
O Elvas to score first✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
46%
2.16
–
Half-time / full-time
HT O Elvas / FT O Elvas✗
25%
3.96
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
13%
7.59
–
Recent results
O Elvas – last 6
LDLWWL
22 Mar
@ Alcochetense
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Oriental Lisboa
0–0
D
8 Mar
@ FC Alverca II
1–2
L
1 Mar
vs Lagoa
4–0
W
22 Feb
vs Juventude Évora
2–1
W
15 Feb
@ Louletano
0–1
L
1.2Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Fátima – last 6
LLLWDD
29 Mar
vs Oliveira Hospital
0–2
L
22 Mar
@ Os Marialvas
0–2
L
15 Mar
vs Naval 1893
0–1
L
8 Mar
@ Mortágua
1–0
W
1 Mar
vs Lajense
1–1
D
22 Feb
vs Samora Correir
2–2
D
0.7Scored / game
1.3Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between O Elvas and Fátima.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 60% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.
Who will win O Elvas vs Fátima?
On our numbers O Elvas have a 46% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Fátima 31%.
How many goals will there be in O Elvas vs Fátima?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 40% likely and both teams score 45% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for O Elvas vs Fátima?
Our predicted score is O Elvas 1–0 Fátima, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is O Elvas vs Fátima?
O Elvas vs Fátima (Campeonato De Portugal Prio Group C) kicks off on Sunday 16 August 2026 at 17:00 (West Africa Time) at Campo Domingos Carrilho Patalino.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
