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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Macara v Santos: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Bellavista

Macara

DLWWD
0–0
FT

Santos

WWLWD
Macara 38%Draw 23%Santos 39% Expected goals 1.20 – 1.24
76%
Betarazi pick

Under 3.5 goals

Strong pick · fair odds 1.31 · bookmaker 1.25 · Won ✓

8/10Rating
1.25Odds
2

Value bet: Santos to win @ 2.98 – our chance 39% vs 34% implied by the price (edge +17%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultSantos to win ✗39% · @2.98
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77% · @1.28
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗52% · @1.83
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.47

Macara vs Santos: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Thursday 20 August the CONMEBOL Sudamericana brings Macara against Santos at Estadio Bellavista. Kick-off: 23:00 WAT. In the table, Macara are 1st on 10 points after 6 matches; Santos are 2nd with 7. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Macara, last 5: DLWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Universidad Catolica, at home. Goals for and against: 1.8 scored, 1.2 conceded per game.

Santos, last 5: WWLWD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Vasco DA Gama, away. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (13 Aug 2026) it ended Santos 2–1 Macara.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Macara 1.2 xG, Santos 1.2 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 52%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Macara 38%, draw 23%, Santos 39%.
  • GG/NG: GG (52%) at 1.83.
  • Price worth noting: Santos to win @2.98 – the bookmaker implies 34%, our ratings say 39%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (76%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Macara 1–1 Santos. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Macara38%fair 2.65 · @2.34
Draw23%fair 4.38 · @3.25
Santos39%fair 2.54 · @2.98
2.44Expected goals
1.20Macara xG
1.24Santos xG
52%Both score
44%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–111%
1–010%
0–09%
1–28%
2–18%

From our goals model: Macara 1.2 – 1.2 Santos expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultSantos to win ✗39%2.542.98 ▲
Double chanceEither team to win ✗77%1.301.28
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✗52%1.941.83
Draw no betSantos (draw no bet)51%1.96–
Asian handicapMacara +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓63%1.59–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✗69%1.441.38
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓56%1.801.70
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓76%1.311.25
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓89%1.121.07
First team to scoreSantos to score first ✗46%2.16–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓45%2.23–
Half-time / full-timeHT Santos / FT Santos ✗21%4.72–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.47–

Recent results

Macara – last 6

DLWWDW
18 Augvs Universidad Catolica1–1D
13 Aug@ Santos1–2L
9 Aug@ Barcelona SC2–1W
2 Augvs Guayaquil City FC2–1W
29 Jul@ Gualaceo SC1–1D
26 Jul@ Aucas4–1W
1.8Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
100%Both scored
67%Over 2.5

Santos – last 6

WWLWDW
16 Aug@ Vasco DA Gama3–0W
13 Augvs Macara2–1W
9 Augvs Atletico Paranaense0–2L
5 Aug@ Remo1–0W
2 Augvs Remo0–0D
29 Julvs UCV4–2W
1.7Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5

Head to head

13 Aug 2026Santos v Macara2–1
Macara vs Santos head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara6240+310
2Tigre6231+39
3America de Cali6231+19
4Alianza Atletico6024-72

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Atletico Torque2 Tigre1 133%3.85X25%2.96242%2.12 1.0–1.2xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 62%@1.55 ✓
FT Santa Fe0 River Plate0 128%3.35X26%2.85246%2.38 0.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Olimpia1 Vasco DA Gama4 142%2.42X23%3.15235%2.98 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Macara vs Santos?

Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.

Who will win Macara vs Santos?

On our numbers Macara have a 38% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Santos 39%.

How many goals will there be in Macara vs Santos?

We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 52% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Macara vs Santos?

Our predicted score is Macara 1–1 Santos, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.

When is Macara vs Santos?

Macara vs Santos (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Bellavista.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.