Olimpia 42%Draw 23%Vasco DA Gama 35%Expected goals 1.22 – 1.08
79%
Betarazi pick
Under 3.5 goals
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.26 · bookmaker 1.20 · Lost ✗
9/10Rating
1.20Odds
Picks by market
ResultOlimpia to win ✗42% · @2.42
Double chanceEither team to win ✓77% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓54% · @1.93
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗79% · @1.20
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.45
Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
23:00 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Olimpia v Vasco DA Gama in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Defensores del Chaco. In the table, Olimpia are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Vasco DA Gama are 2nd with 10. Only 3 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Olimpia, last 5: WDLWL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Sportivo Ameliano, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Vasco DA Gama, last 5: LDDWD Their latest outing: 0–3 defeat to Santos, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (13 Aug 2026) it ended Vasco DA Gama 0–0 Olimpia. The last 3 head-to-heads: Olimpia 1 win, Vasco DA Gama 1, draws 1. Those games averaged 2.3 goals and saw GG land 1 time.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Olimpia 1.2 xG, Vasco DA Gama 1.1 xG – a total near 2.3. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 41%, GG 54%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Olimpia 42%, draw 23%, Vasco DA Gama 35%.
GG/NG: GG (54%) at 1.93.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (79%, odds 1.20). Most likely score in line with that pick: Olimpia 1–1 Vasco DA Gama. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Olimpia42%fair 2.40 · @2.42
Draw23%fair 4.29 · @3.15
Vasco DA Gama35%fair 2.85 · @2.98
2.30Expected goals
1.22Olimpia xG
1.08Vasco DA Gama xG
54%Both score
41%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–113%
1–012%
0–111%
0–010%
2–18%
2–07%
From our goals model: Olimpia 1.2 – 1.1 Vasco DA Gama expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 79% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.20.
Who will win Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
On our numbers Olimpia have a 42% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Vasco DA Gama 35%.
How many goals will there be in Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
We expect about 2.3 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 41% likely and both teams score 54% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Our predicted score is Olimpia 1–1 Vasco DA Gama, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.3 goals in total.
When is Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama?
Olimpia vs Vasco DA Gama (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 23:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Defensores del Chaco.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Torque2
Tigre1
Santa Fe0
River Plate0
Macara0
Santos0