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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Atletico Torque v Tigre: numbers & prediction

CONMEBOL Sudamericana · South America · Estadio Centenario

Atletico Torque

WWLWW
2–1
FT

Tigre

DLWDW
Atletico Torque 33%Draw 25%Tigre 42% Expected goals 1.00 – 1.17
62%
Betarazi pick

Over 1.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.61 · bookmaker 1.55 · Won ✓

5/10Rating
1.55Odds
1

Value bet: Atletico Torque to win @ 3.85 – our chance 33% vs 26% implied by the price (edge +29%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultTigre to win ✗42% · @2.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75% · @1.33
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓53% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.15
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.82

Atletico Torque vs Tigre: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

01:30 WAT, Thursday 20 August: Atletico Torque v Tigre in the CONMEBOL Sudamericana, played at Estadio Centenario. In the table, Atletico Torque are 1st on 13 points after 6 matches; Tigre are 2nd with 9.

Current form

Atletico Torque, last 5: WWLWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Tigre, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Aldosivi, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Momentum favours Atletico Torque, collecting 2.0 points per game to 1.3 for Tigre.

Head to head

When they last met (12 Aug 2026) it ended Tigre 0–1 Atletico Torque.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Atletico Torque 1.0 xG, Tigre 1.2 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Atletico Torque 33%, draw 25%, Tigre 42%.
  • GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.20.
  • Price worth noting: Atletico Torque to win @3.85 – the bookmaker implies 26%, our ratings say 33%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.55). Most likely score in line with that pick: Atletico Torque 1–1 Tigre. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Atletico Torque33%fair 2.99 · @3.85
Draw25%fair 4.05 · @2.96
Tigre42%fair 2.39 · @2.12
2.17Expected goals
1.00Atletico Torque xG
1.17Tigre xG
53%Both score
36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%
0–113%
1–011%
0–011%
1–28%
0–28%

From our goals model: Atletico Torque 1.0 – 1.2 Tigre expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultTigre to win ✗42%2.392.12
Double chanceEither team to win ✓75%1.331.33
Both teams to scoreBoth teams to score ✓53%1.902.20 ▲
Draw no betTigre (draw no bet) ✗56%1.80–
Asian handicapAtletico Torque +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓60%1.65–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓62%1.611.55
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✗64%1.561.45
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82%1.221.15
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓92%1.091.04
First team to scoreTigre to score first48%2.10–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✗48%2.09–
Half-time / full-timeHT Tigre / FT Tigre ✗22%4.45–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8%12.82–

Recent results

Atletico Torque – last 6

WWLWWL
15 Aug@ Juventud1–0W
12 Aug@ Tigre1–0W
31 Julvs Wanderers0–2L
24 Julvs Danubio1–0W
11 Jul@ Juventud3–1W
6 Junvs Deportivo Maldonado2–4L
1.3Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Tigre – last 6

DLWDWL
15 Aug@ Aldosivi0–0D
12 Augvs Atletico Torque0–1L
8 Augvs River Plate1–0W
6 Augvs Belgrano Cordoba0–0D
2 Aug@ Racing Club3–1W
28 Julvs Club Nacional1–2L
0.8Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

12 Aug 2026Tigre v Atletico Torque0–1
Atletico Torque vs Tigre head-to-head page →

CONMEBOL Sudamericana table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Macara6240+310
2Tigre6231+39
3America de Cali6231+19
4Alianza Atletico6024-72

More CONMEBOL Sudamericana predictions

League hub
FT Santa Fe0 River Plate0 128%3.35X26%2.85246%2.38 0.9–1.3xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 62%@1.53 ✗
FT Macara0 Santos0 138%2.34X23%3.25239%2.98 1.2–1.2xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 76%@1.25 ✓
FT Olimpia1 Vasco DA Gama4 142%2.42X23%3.15235%2.98 1.2–1.1xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.20 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.55.

Who will win Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

On our numbers Atletico Torque have a 33% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Tigre 42%.

How many goals will there be in Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

Our predicted score is Atletico Torque 1–1 Tigre, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.

When is Atletico Torque vs Tigre?

Atletico Torque vs Tigre (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Centenario.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.