Santa Fe 28%Draw 26%River Plate 46%Expected goals 0.89 – 1.26
62%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.60 · bookmaker 1.53 · Lost ✗
5/10Rating
1.53Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.10 – our chance 53% vs 48% implied by the price (edge +11%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultRiver Plate to win ✗46% · @2.38
Double chanceEither team to win ✗74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗53% · @2.10
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–2 ✗8% · fair 12.16
Santa Fe vs River Plate: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Santa Fe welcome River Plate for a CONMEBOL Sudamericana fixture on Thursday 20 August (01:30 WAT).
Current form
Santa Fe, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Chico, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 3 won, 0 lost from 4. Scoring is no problem – 2.0 a game lately. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
River Plate, last 5: WLLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Argentinos JRS, at home. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game.
Momentum favours Santa Fe, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.5 for River Plate.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santa Fe 0.9 xG, River Plate 1.3 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santa Fe 28%, draw 26%, River Plate 46%.
GG/NG: GG (53%) at 2.10.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.10 – the bookmaker implies 48%, our ratings say 53%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (62%, odds 1.53). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santa Fe 1–1 River Plate. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santa Fe28%fair 3.58 · @3.35
Draw26%fair 3.88 · @2.85
River Plate46%fair 2.16 · @2.38
2.15Expected goals
0.89Santa Fe xG
1.26River Plate xG
53%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–115%
1–113%
0–012%
1–010%
0–29%
1–28%
From our goals model: Santa Fe 0.9 – 1.3 River Plate expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
River Plate to win✗
46%
2.16
2.38 ▲
Double chance
Either team to win✗
74%
1.35
1.36
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
53%
1.89
2.10 ▲
Draw no bet
River Plate (draw no bet)
62%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Santa Fe +1 (Asian handicap)✓
73%
1.37
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
62%
1.60
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
82%
1.22
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
92%
1.09
1.05
First team to score
River Plate to score first✗
52%
1.94
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT River Plate / FT River Plate✗
26%
3.87
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–2✗
8%
12.16
–
Recent results
Santa Fe – last 6
WWDWLW
8 Aug
vs Chico
2–0
W
6 Aug
vs Union Magdalena
2–0
W
3 Aug
vs Once Caldas
2–2
D
31 Jul
@ Caracas FC
3–0
W
26 Jul
@ Águilas Doradas
1–2
L
24 Jul
vs Caracas FC
2–0
W
2.0Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
River Plate – last 6
WLLLLL
16 Aug
vs Argentinos JRS
2–0
W
8 Aug
@ Tigre
0–1
L
2 Aug
vs Rosario Central
0–1
L
29 Jul
@ Gimnasia L.P.
0–1
L
25 Jul
vs Barracas Central
0–1
L
18 Jul
vs Aldosivi
1–3
L
0.5Scored / game
1.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santa Fe and River Plate.
What is the prediction for Santa Fe vs River Plate?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 62% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.53.
Who will win Santa Fe vs River Plate?
On our numbers Santa Fe have a 28% chance of winning, the draw 26% and River Plate 46%.
How many goals will there be in Santa Fe vs River Plate?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 53% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santa Fe vs River Plate?
Our predicted score is Santa Fe 1–1 River Plate, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Santa Fe vs River Plate?
Santa Fe vs River Plate (CONMEBOL Sudamericana) kicks off on Thursday 20 August 2026 at 01:30 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
Atletico Torque2
Tigre1
Macara0
Santos0
Olimpia1
Vasco DA Gama4