Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 3.60 – our chance 29% vs 28% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBartolomé Mitre to win ✗39% · @2.05
Double chanceBartolomé Mitre or draw ✓71% · @1.22
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗56% · @1.36
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓76% · @1.28
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗18% · fair 5.58
Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Bartolomé Mitre welcome Sarmiento de La Banda to Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Saturday 8 August (19:30 WAT). In the table, Bartolomé Mitre are 9th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th (upper half) with 25. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Bartolomé Mitre, last 5: LLWLD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.2 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: DWLWW Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Tucuman Central, away. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.7 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Sarmiento de La Banda, collecting 2.2 points per game to 0.8 for Bartolomé Mitre.
Head to head
When they last met (28 Jun 2026) it ended Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 Bartolomé Mitre.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 xG, Sarmiento de La Banda 0.7 xG – a total near 1.6. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 76% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Bartolomé Mitre 39%, draw 32%, Sarmiento de La Banda 29%.
Lower-risk option: Bartolomé Mitre or draw (71%) at 1.22.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.36.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @3.60 – the bookmaker implies 28%, our ratings say 29%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (76%, odds 1.28). Most likely score in line with that pick: Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Bartolomé Mitre39%fair 2.60 · @2.05
Draw32%fair 3.13 · @2.80
Sarmiento de La Banda29%fair 3.39 · @3.60
1.61Expected goals
0.89Bartolomé Mitre xG
0.71Sarmiento de La Banda xG
44%Both score
24%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–020%
1–018%
0–114%
1–113%
2–08%
2–16%
From our goals model: Bartolomé Mitre 0.9 – 0.7 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Bartolomé Mitre
Sarmiento de La Banda
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-40%
+2%
Goals conceded vs average
-13%
+13%
Our expected goals here
0.83
0.64
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
What is the prediction for Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 76% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.28.
Who will win Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Bartolomé Mitre have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 32% and Sarmiento de La Banda 29%.
How many goals will there be in Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 1.6 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 24% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Bartolomé Mitre 0–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.6 goals in total.
When is Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Bartolomé Mitre vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Tito Cucchiaroni.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
