Sol de Mayo v Deportivo Rincon: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Sol De Mayo

Deportivo Rincon

WWLLL

Sol de Mayo 39%Draw 29%Deportivo Rincon 32% Expected goals 1.08 – 1.01

64%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.57 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.40 – our chance 32% vs 29% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓

Picks by market

ResultSol de Mayo to win ✗39% · @2.05

Double chanceEither team to win ✓71% · @1.30

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗51% · @1.62

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗13% · fair 7.50

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Deportivo Rincon travel to face Sol de Mayo on Saturday 8 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Sol De Mayo the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Sol de Mayo are 28th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Sol de Mayo, last 5: WDLLW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Santamarina, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 4. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.

Deportivo Rincon, last 5: WWLLL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Guillermo Brown, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Sol de Mayo 1.1 xG, Deportivo Rincon 1.0 xG – a total near 2.1. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 64%.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Sol de Mayo 39%, draw 29%, Deportivo Rincon 32%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.62.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Rincon to win @3.40 – the bookmaker implies 29%, our ratings say 32%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (64%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sol de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Sol de Mayo39%fair 2.54 · @2.05

Draw29%fair 3.50 · @2.90

Deportivo Rincon32%fair 3.12 · @3.40

2.09Expected goals

1.08Sol de Mayo xG

1.01Deportivo Rincon xG

49%Both score

36%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–113%

1–013%

0–112%

0–012%

2–17%

2–07%

From our goals model: Sol de Mayo 1.1 – 1.0 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

Team ratings (Betarazi)

	Sol de Mayo	Deportivo Rincon
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average	-3%	-1%
Goals conceded vs average	+55%	-9%
Our expected goals here	1.06	1.10

Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Sol de Mayo to win ✗	39%	2.54	2.05
Double chance	Either team to win ✓	71%	1.40	1.30
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✗	51%	1.97	1.62
Draw no bet	Sol de Mayo (draw no bet) ✗	55%	1.82	–
Asian handicap	Deportivo Rincon +0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	63%	1.58	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✓	62%	1.61	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✗	64%	1.57	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✗	82%	1.22	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✗	91%	1.09	1.05
First team to score	Sol de Mayo to score first ✗	45%	2.21	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	49%	2.05	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Draw / FT Draw ✗	21%	4.82	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	13%	7.50	–

Recent results

Sol de Mayo – last 6

WDLLWD

2 Aug	vs Santamarina	1–0	W
26 Jul	vs Villa Mitre	3–3	D
12 Jul	@ Circulo Deportivo	1–3	L
5 Jul	vs Kimberley Mar del Plata	1–2	L
21 Jun	@ Guillermo Brown	1–0	W
14 Jun	vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca	1–1	D

1.3Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

67%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

WWLLLL

2 Aug	vs Guillermo Brown	2–0	W
25 Jul	@ Costa Brava	1–0	W
12 Jul	vs Huracan Las Heras	0–1	L
5 Jul	@ San Martín Mendoza	0–1	L
27 Jun	vs Atenas	0–1	L
21 Jun	@ Cipolletti	1–2	L

0.7Scored / game

0.8Conceded / game

17%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Sol de Mayo and Deportivo Rincon.

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Juventud Antoniana0

Alvarado2 145%1.95X31%2.85225%3.95 0.9–0.7xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 53%@1.60 ✓

Sportivo Las Parejas0

Defensores de Vilelas0 165%1.48X23%3.60212%5.75 1.8–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 77%@1.25 ✓

Douglas Haig1

San Martin Formosa4 148%2.00X28%3.00224%3.70 1.4–0.8xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 79%@1.22 ✗

Circulo Deportivo1

Guillermo Brown0 141%2.25X33%2.70226%3.20 1.0–0.6xG 1XCirculo Deportivo or draw 74%@1.28 ✓

Juventud Unida Univ.1

Fundacion Amigos0 140%2.10X34%2.70226%3.70 0.9–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 76%@1.30 ✓

Santamarina0

San Martín Mendoza1 136%2.20X30%2.75234%3.25 0.9–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.36 ✓

Bartolomé Mitre1

Sarmiento de La Banda1 139%2.05X32%2.80229%3.60 0.9–0.7xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 76%@1.28 ✓

Huracan Las Heras0

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1 130%2.90X34%2.60236%2.60 0.7–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.36 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 64% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?

On our numbers Sol de Mayo have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 29% and Deportivo Rincon 32%.

How many goals will there be in Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?

We expect about 2.1 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 36% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?

Our predicted score is Sol de Mayo 1–1 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.1 goals in total.

When is Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon?

Sol de Mayo vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Sol De Mayo.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.