Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.25 – our chance 50% vs 44% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSportivo Las Parejas to win ✗65% · @1.48
Double chanceSportivo Las Parejas or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.25
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓77% · @1.25
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 11.40
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Sportivo Las Parejas welcome Defensores de Vilelas to Estadio La Perrera for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Saturday 8 August (18:30 WAT). In the table, Sportivo Las Parejas are 15th, upper half, on 24 points after 18 matches; Defensores de Vilelas are 24th (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Sportivo Las Parejas, last 5: LDDDD Their latest outing: 0–2 defeat to El Linqueño, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.5 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Defensores de Vilelas, last 5: WLWLW Their latest outing: 4–1 win over Sarmiento Resistencia, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 1.5 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sportivo Las Parejas 1.8 xG, Defensores de Vilelas 0.6 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 44%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sportivo Las Parejas 65%, draw 23%, Defensores de Vilelas 12%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.25.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.25 – the bookmaker implies 44%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 3.5 goals (77%, odds 1.25). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sportivo Las Parejas65%fair 1.54 · @1.48
Draw23%fair 4.34 · @3.60
Defensores de Vilelas12%fair 8.41 · @5.75
2.39Expected goals
1.79Sportivo Las Parejas xG
0.59Defensores de Vilelas xG
50%Both score
44%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–016%
2–015%
1–110%
0–09%
3–09%
2–19%
From our goals model: Sportivo Las Parejas 1.8 – 0.6 Defensores de Vilelas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Sportivo Las Parejas
Defensores de Vilelas
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-1%
+37%
Goals conceded vs average
-40%
+58%
Our expected goals here
1.88
0.59
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sportivo Las Parejas to win✗
65%
1.54
1.48
Double chance
Sportivo Las Parejas or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.98
2.25 ▲
Draw no bet
Sportivo Las Parejas (draw no bet)
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Sportivo Las Parejas -0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.51
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
69%
1.45
1.36
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
56%
1.78
1.70
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
77%
1.31
1.25
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
89%
1.13
1.08
First team to score
Sportivo Las Parejas to score first✗
68%
1.47
–
Half-time result
Sportivo Las Parejas ahead at half-time✗
46%
2.18
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sportivo Las Parejas / FT Sportivo Las Parejas✗
42%
2.38
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
11.40
–
Recent results
Sportivo Las Parejas – last 6
LDDDDW
2 Aug
@ El Linqueño
0–2
L
26 Jul
@ Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
5 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
0–0
D
27 Jun
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–1
D
21 Jun
@ Gimnasia Concepción
1–0
W
0.5Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Defensores de Vilelas – last 6
WLWLWL
3 Aug
vs Sarmiento Resistencia
4–1
W
12 Jul
@ Bartolomé Mitre
0–1
L
4 Jul
vs Sarmiento de La Banda
3–0
W
28 Jun
@ Juventud Antoniana
0–4
L
21 Jun
vs Sol de América
2–1
W
14 Jun
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
0–2
L
1.5Scored / game
1.5Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sportivo Las Parejas and Defensores de Vilelas.
What is the prediction for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas?
Our pick is Under 3.5 goals with a 77% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.25.
Who will win Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas?
On our numbers Sportivo Las Parejas have a 65% chance of winning, the draw 23% and Defensores de Vilelas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 44% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas?
Our predicted score is Sportivo Las Parejas 1–0 Defensores de Vilelas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas?
Sportivo Las Parejas vs Defensores de Vilelas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 18:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio La Perrera.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
