Value bet: San Martín Mendoza to win @ 3.25 – our chance 34% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultSantamarina to win ✗36% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✓70% · fair 1.44
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓70% · @1.36
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗14% · fair 6.94
Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
San Martín Mendoza travel to face Santamarina on Saturday 8 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Santamarina are 36th, in the drop zone, on 13 points after 16 matches; San Martín Mendoza are 23rd (lower half) with 19.
Current form
Santamarina, last 5: LLDLL Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Sol de Mayo, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.0 goals a game.
San Martín Mendoza, last 5: DDDWL Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Costa Brava, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Momentum favours San Martín Mendoza, collecting 1.5 points per game to 0.3 for Santamarina.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Santamarina 0.9 xG, San Martín Mendoza 0.9 xG – a total near 1.8. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 70%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Santamarina 36%, draw 30%, San Martín Mendoza 34%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: San Martín Mendoza to win @3.25 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 34%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (70%, odds 1.36). Most likely score in line with that pick: Santamarina 0–0 San Martín Mendoza. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Santamarina36%fair 2.78 · @2.20
Draw30%fair 3.30 · @2.75
San Martín Mendoza34%fair 2.96 · @3.25
1.84Expected goals
0.91Santamarina xG
0.93San Martín Mendoza xG
49%Both score
30%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–016%
0–115%
1–014%
1–113%
0–27%
2–07%
From our goals model: Santamarina 0.9 – 0.9 San Martín Mendoza expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
Team ratings (Betarazi)
Santamarina
San Martín Mendoza
Attack vs Torneo Federal A average
-29%
-5%
Goals conceded vs average
+47%
+2%
Our expected goals here
0.87
1.00
Our own ratings from every Torneo Federal A result in the last 14 months, recent games counting more. Attack +20% = scores 20% more than an average side; goals conceded −20% = a tighter defence than average. They feed into every chance on this page.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Santamarina to win✗
36%
2.78
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✓
70%
1.44
–
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.50
Draw no bet
Santamarina (draw no bet)✗
52%
1.94
–
Asian handicap
Santamarina +0.5 (Asian handicap)✗
66%
1.53
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
56%
1.78
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
70%
1.42
1.36
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
86%
1.16
1.11
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
San Martín Mendoza to score first✓
43%
2.35
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
52%
1.92
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✗
24%
4.19
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
14%
6.94
–
Recent results
Santamarina – last 6
LLDLLD
2 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
26 Jul
@ Olimpo Bahia Blanca
0–2
L
11 Jul
vs Alvarado
0–0
D
28 Jun
@ Germinal de Rawson
0–1
L
20 Jun
vs Villa Mitre
0–2
L
14 Jun
@ Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
0.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
0%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
San Martín Mendoza – last 6
DDDWLW
2 Aug
vs Costa Brava
2–2
D
26 Jul
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
1–1
D
12 Jul
@ Fundacion Amigos
0–0
D
5 Jul
vs Deportivo Rincon
1–0
W
28 Jun
@ Costa Brava
1–2
L
21 Jun
vs Huracan Las Heras
3–1
W
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
67%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Santamarina and San Martín Mendoza.
What is the prediction for Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 70% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.36.
Who will win Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
On our numbers Santamarina have a 36% chance of winning, the draw 30% and San Martín Mendoza 34%.
How many goals will there be in Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
We expect about 1.8 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 30% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Our predicted score is Santamarina 0–0 San Martín Mendoza, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.8 goals in total.
When is Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza?
Santamarina vs San Martín Mendoza (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Saturday 8 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Municipal Gral. San Martin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
