Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓53% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓68% · @1.40
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓17% · fair 5.94
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia Chivilcoy welcome Sarmiento de La Banda to Jose Maria Paz for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 30 August (20:00 WAT). In the table, Gimnasia Chivilcoy are 6th, upper half, on 27 points after 18 matches; Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th (upper half) with 25. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Gimnasia Chivilcoy, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores de Belgrano VR, away. In their own stadium the record reads 0 won, 0 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.7 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: WLDDD Their latest outing: 3–0 win over Sportivo Belgrano, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1 xG, Sarmiento de La Banda 0.8 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 68%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Chivilcoy 47%, draw 24%, Sarmiento de La Banda 28%.
GG/NG: NG (53%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (68%, odds 1.40). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Gimnasia Chivilcoy47%fair 2.12 · @2.05
Draw24%fair 4.09 · @2.90
Sarmiento de La Banda28%fair 3.53 · @3.60
1.91Expected goals
1.13Gimnasia Chivilcoy xG
0.77Sarmiento de La Banda xG
47%Both score
32%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–017%
0–015%
1–113%
0–112%
2–010%
2–17%
From our goals model: Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1.1 – 0.8 Sarmiento de La Banda expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Gimnasia Chivilcoy to win✓
47%
2.12
2.05
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
53%
1.88
1.50
Draw no bet
Gimnasia Chivilcoy (draw no bet)✓
63%
1.60
–
Asian handicap
Sarmiento de La Banda +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
57%
1.75
1.62
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.40
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
85%
1.17
1.12
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.07
1.03
First team to score
Gimnasia Chivilcoy to score first✓
51%
1.98
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
51%
1.97
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Gimnasia Chivilcoy / FT Gimnasia Chivilcoy✓
25%
4.01
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✓
17%
5.94
–
Recent results
Gimnasia Chivilcoy – last 6
WDLDDD
23 Aug
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
16 Aug
vs San Martin Formosa
1–1
D
13 Aug
@ 9 de Julio Rafaela
0–1
L
1 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
0–0
D
25 Jul
@ Defensores de Belgrano VR
2–2
D
12 Jul
vs Gimnasia Concepción
0–0
D
0.7Scored / game
0.7Conceded / game
33%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
WLDDDW
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
3–0
W
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
12 Jul
vs San Martin Formosa
2–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Gimnasia Chivilcoy and Sarmiento de La Banda.
What is the prediction for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 68% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.40.
Who will win Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
On our numbers Gimnasia Chivilcoy have a 47% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Sarmiento de La Banda 28%.
How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 32% likely and both teams score 47% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Our predicted score is Gimnasia Chivilcoy 1–0 Sarmiento de La Banda, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda?
Gimnasia Chivilcoy vs Sarmiento de La Banda (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 20:00 (West Africa Time) at Jose Maria Paz.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
