Value bet: Alvarado to win @ 3.00 – our chance 35% vs 33% implied by the price (edge +6%). Bigger price, more risk. Won ✓
Picks by market
ResultKimberley Mar del Plata to win ✗39% · @2.45
Double chanceEither team to win ✓74% · @1.36
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓73% · @1.33
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗16% · fair 6.35
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvarado travel to face Kimberley Mar del Plata on Sunday 30 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Jose Antonio Valle the venue – the ball rolls at 19:00 WAT. In the table, Kimberley Mar del Plata are 8th, upper half, on 26 points after 16 matches; Alvarado are 5th (upper half) with 27. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Kimberley Mar del Plata, last 5: LWLWD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Olimpo Bahia Blanca, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Alvarado, last 5: DDWWD Their latest outing: 1–1 draw with Argentino Monte Maíz, at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.5 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Head to head
When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Kimberley Mar del Plata 2–2 Alvarado.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.9 xG, Alvarado 0.8 xG – a total near 1.7. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 73%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Kimberley Mar del Plata 39%, draw 26%, Alvarado 35%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Price worth noting: Alvarado to win @3.00 – the bookmaker implies 33%, our ratings say 35%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (73%, odds 1.33). Most likely score in line with that pick: Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 Alvarado. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Kimberley Mar del Plata39%fair 2.60 · @2.45
Draw26%fair 3.85 · @2.70
Alvarado35%fair 2.82 · @3.00
1.74Expected goals
0.90Kimberley Mar del Plata xG
0.84Alvarado xG
46%Both score
27%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–018%
1–016%
0–115%
1–113%
2–07%
0–26%
From our goals model: Kimberley Mar del Plata 0.9 – 0.8 Alvarado expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
What is the prediction for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 73% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.33.
Who will win Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?
On our numbers Kimberley Mar del Plata have a 39% chance of winning, the draw 26% and Alvarado 35%.
How many goals will there be in Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?
We expect about 1.7 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 27% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?
Our predicted score is Kimberley Mar del Plata 0–0 Alvarado, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.7 goals in total.
When is Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado?
Kimberley Mar del Plata vs Alvarado (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Jose Antonio Valle.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
