Good pick · fair odds 1.49 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓
6/10Rating
1.44Odds
2
Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 3.20 – our chance 36% vs 31% implied by the price (edge +14%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultGerminal de Rawson to win ✗40% · @2.20
Double chanceEither team to win ✗76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓51% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗15% · fair 6.81
Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Germinal de Rawson welcome Deportivo Rincon to Estadio El Fortin for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 30 August (19:00 WAT). In the table, Germinal de Rawson are 30th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Deportivo Rincon are 22nd (lower half) with 19. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Germinal de Rawson, last 5: DLWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with San Martín Mendoza, at home. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
Deportivo Rincon, last 5: WLDWW Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Juventud Unida Univ., at home. Away from home the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.
Momentum favours Deportivo Rincon, collecting 2.2 points per game to 1.3 for Germinal de Rawson.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Germinal de Rawson 1.0 xG, Deportivo Rincon 0.9 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Germinal de Rawson 40%, draw 24%, Deportivo Rincon 36%.
GG/NG: NG (51%) at 1.57.
Price worth noting: Deportivo Rincon to win @3.20 – the bookmaker implies 31%, our ratings say 36%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Deportivo Rincon. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Germinal de Rawson40%fair 2.51 · @2.20
Draw24%fair 4.10 · @2.90
Deportivo Rincon36%fair 2.80 · @3.20
1.91Expected goals
0.99Germinal de Rawson xG
0.92Deportivo Rincon xG
49%Both score
33%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
0–015%
1–015%
0–114%
1–113%
2–07%
2–17%
From our goals model: Germinal de Rawson 1.0 – 0.9 Deportivo Rincon expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Germinal de Rawson to win✗
40%
2.51
2.20
Double chance
Either team to win✗
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✓
51%
1.96
1.57
Draw no bet
Germinal de Rawson (draw no bet)
53%
1.90
–
Asian handicap
Deportivo Rincon +0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
64%
1.57
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
59%
1.70
1.53
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
67%
1.49
1.44
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
84%
1.19
1.14
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
93%
1.08
1.04
First team to score
Germinal de Rawson to score first✗
44%
2.26
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
51%
1.96
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Draw / FT Draw✓
23%
4.37
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
15%
6.81
–
Recent results
Germinal de Rawson – last 6
DLWDWL
23 Aug
vs San Martín Mendoza
0–0
D
16 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Santamarina
5–1
W
8 Aug
@ Costa Brava
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
2–1
W
26 Jul
@ Guillermo Brown
0–2
L
1.3Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Deportivo Rincon – last 6
WLDWWW
23 Aug
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ San Martín Mendoza
0–1
L
12 Aug
vs Circulo Deportivo
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Sol de Mayo
4–2
W
2 Aug
vs Guillermo Brown
2–0
W
25 Jul
@ Costa Brava
1–0
W
1.3Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Germinal de Rawson and Deportivo Rincon.
What is the prediction for Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.
Who will win Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
On our numbers Germinal de Rawson have a 40% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Deportivo Rincon 36%.
How many goals will there be in Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 49% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Our predicted score is Germinal de Rawson 0–0 Deportivo Rincon, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon?
Germinal de Rawson vs Deportivo Rincon (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio El Fortin.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
