Gimnasia Concepción v Independiente De Chivilcoy: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez

Independiente De Chivilcoy

WDLDD

Gimnasia Concepción 63%Draw 25%Independiente De Chivilcoy 13% Expected goals 1.52 – 0.51

65%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.54 · bookmaker 1.50 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.50Odds

Picks by market

ResultGimnasia Concepción to win ✗63% · @1.62

Double chanceGimnasia Concepción or draw ✓87% · @1.11

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.50

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓82% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.99

Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Independiente De Chivilcoy travel to face Gimnasia Concepción on Sunday 30 August in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez the venue – the ball rolls at 19:30 WAT. In the table, Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd, lower half, on 17 points after 18 matches; Independiente De Chivilcoy are 25th (lower half) with 19. Only 2 points split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: WWDWL Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Atletico Escobar, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.

Independiente De Chivilcoy, last 5: WDLDD Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Tucuman Central, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.

Momentum favours Gimnasia Concepción, collecting 1.8 points per game to 1.0 for Independiente De Chivilcoy.

Head to head

When they last met (14 Jun 2026) it ended Independiente De Chivilcoy 0–0 Gimnasia Concepción.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 xG, Independiente De Chivilcoy 0.5 xG – a total near 2.0. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Gimnasia Concepción 63%, draw 25%, Independiente De Chivilcoy 13%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.50.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Gimnasia Concepción63%fair 1.59 · @1.62

Draw25%fair 4.06 · @3.20

Independiente De Chivilcoy13%fair 7.94 · @5.25

2.03Expected goals

1.52Gimnasia Concepción xG

0.51Independiente De Chivilcoy xG

44%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%

2–015%

0–013%

1–110%

2–18%

3–08%

From our goals model: Gimnasia Concepción 1.5 – 0.5 Independiente De Chivilcoy expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Gimnasia Concepción to win ✗	63%	1.59	1.62
Double chance	Gimnasia Concepción or draw ✓	87%	1.14	1.11
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.77	1.50
Draw no bet	Gimnasia Concepción (draw no bet)	83%	1.20	–
Asian handicap	Gimnasia Concepción -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✗	62%	1.60	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.54	1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	82%	1.21	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	1.05
First team to score	Gimnasia Concepción to score first ✗	65%	1.54	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✓	47%	2.11	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Gimnasia Concepción / FT Gimnasia Concepción ✗	38%	2.63	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✗	20%	4.99	–

Recent results

Gimnasia Concepción – last 6

WWDWLD

23 Aug	@ Atletico Escobar	2–0	W
16 Aug	vs Defensores de Vilelas	2–0	W
13 Aug	@ El Linqueño	0–0	D
2 Aug	vs Tucuman Central	4–0	W
26 Jul	vs El Linqueño	0–1	L
12 Jul	@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy	0–0	D

1.3Scored / game

0.2Conceded / game

0%Both scored

17%Over 2.5

Independiente De Chivilcoy – last 6

WDLDDL

23 Aug	vs Tucuman Central	2–0	W
16 Aug	@ Sportivo Las Parejas	0–0	D
12 Aug	vs Sarmiento Resistencia	1–2	L
8 Aug	@ Boca Unidos	1–1	D
26 Jul	vs Sportivo Las Parejas	1–1	D
12 Jul	@ El Linqueño	1–2	L

1.0Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

67%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

14 Jun 2026

Independiente De Chivilcoy v Gimnasia Concepción

0–0

Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

San Martín Mendoza0

Fundacion Amigos2 146%2.10X25%2.80230%3.50 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✓

Kimberley Mar del Plata0

Alvarado2 139%2.45X26%2.70235%3.00 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.33 ✓

Costa Brava1

Juventud Unida Univ.2 158%1.80X26%3.00216%4.50 1.3–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✗

Germinal de Rawson0

Deportivo Rincon0 140%2.20X24%2.90236%3.20 1.0–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Sol de Mayo0

Guillermo Brown2 144%2.15X24%2.90232%3.20 1.2–0.9xG O1.5Over 1.5 goals 63%@1.50 ✓

Villa Mitre3

Huracan Las Heras0 159%1.62X24%3.10217%5.50 1.3–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 70%@1.44 ✗

Argentino Monte Maíz1

Juventud Antoniana0 135%2.55X25%2.75240%2.80 0.8–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 73%@1.30 ✓

Gimnasia Chivilcoy1

Sarmiento de La Banda0 147%2.05X24%2.90228%3.60 1.1–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 68%@1.40 ✓

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.

Who will win Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

On our numbers Gimnasia Concepción have a 63% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Independiente De Chivilcoy 13%.

How many goals will there be in Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

We expect about 2.0 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Our predicted score is Gimnasia Concepción 1–0 Independiente De Chivilcoy, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.0 goals in total.

When is Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy?

Gimnasia Concepción vs Independiente De Chivilcoy (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 30 August 2026 at 19:30 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Manuel y Ramon Nunez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.