Good pick · fair odds 1.51 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
Picks by market
ResultAlvarado to win ✓64% · @1.62
Double chanceAlvarado or draw ✓88% · @1.10
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.50
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗83% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗22% · fair 4.65
Alvarado vs Atenas: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Alvarado welcome Atenas for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 6 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Alvarado are 5th, upper half, on 27 points after 16 matches; Atenas are 18th (upper half) with 23.
Current form
Alvarado, last 5: WDDWW Their latest outing: 2–0 win over Kimberley Mar del Plata, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Atenas, last 5: WDWWL Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Olimpo Bahia Blanca, at home. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.8 conceded per game.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Alvarado 1.5 xG, Atenas 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 66%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Alvarado 64%, draw 24%, Atenas 12%.
GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.50.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (66%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Alvarado 1–0 Atenas. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Alvarado64%fair 1.57 · @1.62
Draw24%fair 4.08 · @3.10
Atenas12%fair 8.55 · @5.50
1.93Expected goals
1.48Alvarado xG
0.45Atenas xG
46%Both score
34%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–022%
2–016%
0–015%
1–110%
3–08%
2–17%
From our goals model: Alvarado 1.5 – 0.4 Atenas expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Alvarado to win✓
64%
1.57
1.62
Double chance
Alvarado or draw✓
88%
1.13
1.10
Both teams to score
Not both teams to score✗
54%
1.85
1.50
Draw no bet
Alvarado (draw no bet)✓
85%
1.18
–
Asian handicap
Alvarado -0.5 (Asian handicap)✓
63%
1.58
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
60%
1.67
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
66%
1.51
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
83%
1.20
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
92%
1.08
1.05
First team to score
Alvarado to score first
66%
1.52
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.06
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Alvarado / FT Alvarado✗
38%
2.61
–
Correct score
Correct score 1–0✗
22%
4.65
–
Recent results
Alvarado – last 6
WDDWWD
30 Aug
@ Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–0
W
23 Aug
vs Argentino Monte Maíz
1–1
D
16 Aug
@ Villa Mitre
0–0
D
12 Aug
vs Huracan Las Heras
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Juventud Antoniana
2–0
W
11 Jul
@ Santamarina
0–0
D
1.0Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
17%Both scored
0%Over 2.5
Atenas – last 6
WDWWLD
30 Aug
vs Olimpo Bahia Blanca
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ Cipolletti
2–2
D
13 Aug
vs Kimberley Mar del Plata
2–1
W
8 Aug
@ Argentino Monte Maíz
2–1
W
2 Aug
vs Villa Mitre
0–1
L
26 Jul
vs Juventud Unida Univ.
0–0
D
1.2Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
50%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Alvarado and Atenas.
Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 66% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Alvarado vs Atenas?
On our numbers Alvarado have a 64% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Atenas 12%.
How many goals will there be in Alvarado vs Atenas?
We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 34% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Alvarado vs Atenas?
Our predicted score is Alvarado 1–0 Atenas, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.
When is Alvarado vs Atenas?
Alvarado vs Atenas (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time).
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
