Sarmiento de La Banda 58%Draw 24%9 de Julio Rafaela 17%Expected goals 1.62 – 0.75
83%
Betarazi pick
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw
Very strong pick · fair odds 1.21 · bookmaker 1.21 · Lost ✗
10/10Rating
1.21Odds
1
Value bet: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @ 1.93 – our chance 58% vs 52% implied by the price (edge +13%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultSarmiento de La Banda to win ✗58% · @1.93
Double chanceSarmiento de La Banda or draw ✗83% · @1.21
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✓50% · @1.91
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✗77% · @1.18
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗9% · fair 10.85
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
9 de Julio Rafaela travel to face Sarmiento de La Banda on Sunday 6 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Stadio Ciudad de La Banda the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Sarmiento de La Banda are 13th, upper half, on 25 points after 16 matches; 9 de Julio Rafaela are 14th (upper half) with 25. They are level on points, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Sarmiento de La Banda, last 5: LWLDD Their latest outing: 0–1 defeat to Gimnasia Chivilcoy, away. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 1.0 conceded per game.
9 de Julio Rafaela, last 5: WLWDD Their latest outing: 1–0 win over Defensores de Belgrano VR, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 2 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 xG, 9 de Julio Rafaela 0.8 xG – a total near 2.4. Neither a goal-fest nor a stalemate: over 2.5 is 43%, GG 50%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Sarmiento de La Banda 58%, draw 24%, 9 de Julio Rafaela 17%.
Lower-risk option: Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (83%) at 1.21.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 1.91.
Price worth noting: Sarmiento de La Banda to win @1.93 – the bookmaker implies 52%, our ratings say 58%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Sarmiento de La Banda or draw (83%, odds 1.21). Most likely score in line with that pick: Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Sarmiento de La Banda58%fair 1.71 · @1.93
Draw24%fair 4.14 · @3.20
9 de Julio Rafaela17%fair 5.72 · @3.54
2.38Expected goals
1.62Sarmiento de La Banda xG
0.759 de Julio Rafaela xG
50%Both score
43%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–015%
2–012%
1–111%
0–09%
2–19%
0–17%
From our goals model: Sarmiento de La Banda 1.6 – 0.8 9 de Julio Rafaela expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Sarmiento de La Banda to win✗
58%
1.71
1.93 ▲
Double chance
Sarmiento de La Banda or draw✗
83%
1.21
1.21
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✓
50%
1.98
1.91
Draw no bet
Sarmiento de La Banda (draw no bet)✗
77%
1.30
–
Asian handicap
9 de Julio Rafaela +1.5 (Asian handicap)✓
68%
1.47
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✓
68%
1.47
1.35
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✗
57%
1.74
1.61
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✗
77%
1.29
1.18
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✗
91%
1.10
–
First team to score
Sarmiento de La Banda to score first✗
62%
1.62
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✗
44%
2.27
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Sarmiento de La Banda / FT Sarmiento de La Banda✗
36%
2.81
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
9%
10.85
–
Recent results
Sarmiento de La Banda – last 6
LWLDDD
30 Aug
@ Gimnasia Chivilcoy
0–1
L
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Belgrano
3–0
W
16 Aug
@ Douglas Haig
1–3
L
13 Aug
vs Sol de América
0–0
D
8 Aug
@ Bartolomé Mitre
1–1
D
26 Jul
@ Tucuman Central
1–1
D
1.0Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
9 de Julio Rafaela – last 6
WLWDDL
30 Aug
vs Defensores de Belgrano VR
1–0
W
23 Aug
@ San Martin Formosa
1–2
L
13 Aug
vs Gimnasia Chivilcoy
1–0
W
8 Aug
@ Sportivo Belgrano
1–1
D
2 Aug
vs Douglas Haig
0–0
D
26 Jul
@ Douglas Haig
1–2
L
0.8Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Sarmiento de La Banda and 9 de Julio Rafaela.
What is the prediction for Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our pick is Sarmiento de La Banda or draw with a 83% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.21.
Who will win Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
On our numbers Sarmiento de La Banda have a 58% chance of winning, the draw 24% and 9 de Julio Rafaela 17%.
How many goals will there be in Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
We expect about 2.4 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 43% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Our predicted score is Sarmiento de La Banda 1–0 9 de Julio Rafaela, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.4 goals in total.
When is Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela?
Sarmiento de La Banda vs 9 de Julio Rafaela (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Stadio Ciudad de La Banda.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
