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BetaraziFootball predictions · read by the numbers

Deportivo Rincon v Costa Brava: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros
1–1
FT
Deportivo Rincon 59%Draw 25%Costa Brava 16% Expected goals 1.37 – 0.54
67%
Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.48 · bookmaker 1.44 · Won ✓

6/10Rating
1.44Odds
1

Value bet: Deportivo Rincon to win @ 1.85 – our chance 59% vs 54% implied by the price (edge +9%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗

Picks by market

ResultDeportivo Rincon to win ✗59% · @1.85
Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓84% · @1.17
Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✗54% · @1.57
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84% · @1.14
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20% · fair 4.92

Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

On Sunday 6 September the Torneo Federal A brings Deportivo Rincon against Costa Brava at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros. Kick-off: 19:00 WAT. In the table, Deportivo Rincon are 22nd, lower half, on 19 points after 16 matches; Costa Brava are 27th (lower half) with 18. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.

Current form

Deportivo Rincon, last 5: DWLDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Germinal de Rawson, away. In their own stadium the record reads 2 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.2 scored, 0.5 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 4 clean sheets in that run.

Costa Brava, last 5: LWWDD Their latest outing: 1–2 defeat to Juventud Unida Univ., at home. Away from home the record reads 1 won, 0 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.0 scored, 0.8 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.

Head to head

When they last met (25 Jul 2026) it ended Costa Brava 0–1 Deportivo Rincon. The last 2 head-to-heads: Deportivo Rincon 2 wins, Costa Brava 0, draws 0. Those games averaged 1.0 goals.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Deportivo Rincon 1.4 xG, Costa Brava 0.5 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 67%. Both teams' recent matches have tended to stay under 2.5.

Markets worth a look

  • 1X2 according to our numbers – Deportivo Rincon 59%, draw 25%, Costa Brava 16%.
  • Lower-risk option: Deportivo Rincon or draw (84%) at 1.17.
  • GG/NG: NG (54%) at 1.57.
  • Price worth noting: Deportivo Rincon to win @1.85 – the bookmaker implies 54%, our ratings say 59%.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (67%, odds 1.44). Most likely score in line with that pick: Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Deportivo Rincon59%fair 1.69 · @1.85
Draw25%fair 4.03 · @2.90
Costa Brava16%fair 6.20 · @4.20
1.91Expected goals
1.37Deportivo Rincon xG
0.54Costa Brava xG
46%Both score
33%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–020%
0–015%
2–014%
1–111%
0–18%
2–17%

From our goals model: Deportivo Rincon 1.4 – 0.5 Costa Brava expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

MarketMost likelyChanceFair oddsBookmaker
Match resultDeportivo Rincon to win ✗59%1.691.85 ▲
Double chanceDeportivo Rincon or draw ✓84%1.191.17
Both teams to scoreNot both teams to score ✗54%1.841.57
Draw no betDeportivo Rincon (draw no bet)79%1.27–
Asian handicapCosta Brava +1.5 (Asian handicap) ✓71%1.40–
Over/under 1.5 goalsOver 1.5 goals ✓60%1.681.50
Over/under 2.5 goalsUnder 2.5 goals ✓67%1.481.44
Over/under 3.5 goalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓84%1.191.14
Over/under 4.5 goalsUnder 4.5 goals ✓93%1.081.04
First team to scoreDeportivo Rincon to score first61%1.64–
Half-time resultLevel at half-time ✓50%2.02–
Half-time / full-timeHT Deportivo Rincon / FT Deportivo Rincon ✗34%2.93–
Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✗20%4.92–

Recent results

Deportivo Rincon – last 6

DWLDWW
30 Aug@ Germinal de Rawson0–0D
23 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–0W
16 Aug@ San Martín Mendoza0–1L
12 Augvs Circulo Deportivo0–0D
8 Aug@ Sol de Mayo4–2W
2 Augvs Guillermo Brown2–0W
1.2Scored / game
0.5Conceded / game
17%Both scored
17%Over 2.5

Costa Brava – last 6

LWWDDD
30 Augvs Juventud Unida Univ.1–2L
23 Aug@ Circulo Deportivo1–0W
16 Augvs Guillermo Brown1–0W
12 Aug@ Fundacion Amigos0–0D
8 Augvs Germinal de Rawson1–1D
2 Aug@ San Martín Mendoza2–2D
1.0Scored / game
0.8Conceded / game
50%Both scored
33%Over 2.5

Head to head

25 Jul 2026Costa Brava v Deportivo Rincon0–1
17 May 2026Deportivo Rincon v Costa Brava1–0
Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#TeamPWDLGDPts
1Olimpo Bahia Blanca16871+931
2Douglas Haig18945+731
3Sportivo Belgrano18792+1230
4San Martin Formosa16934+630
5Alvarado16763+1227
6Gimnasia Chivilcoy18765+527
7Defensores de Belgrano VR18765+427
8Kimberley Mar del Plata16682+626
9Bartolomé Mitre16754+626
10Sol de América16826+526
11Juventud Antoniana16745+825
12Cipolletti16745+425
13Sarmiento de La Banda16745+225
149 de Julio Rafaela18747+125
15Sportivo Las Parejas18594-124
16Villa Mitre16583+623
17Argentino Monte Maíz16583+423
18Atenas16655-123
19Huracan Las Heras16655-223
20Atletico Escobar18648-822
21Fundacion Amigos16493+321
22Deportivo Rincon16547-319
23San Martín Mendoza16475-419
24Defensores de Vilelas16619-519
25Independiente De Chivilcoy18477-719
26El Linqueño18549-719
27Costa Brava16466-118
28Sol de Mayo16466-318
29Boca Unidos16538-618
30Germinal de Rawson16466-718
31Juventud Unida Univ.16385017
32Tucuman Central16529-517
33Gimnasia Concepción18459-617
34Guillermo Brown16457-717
35Sarmiento Resistencia16367-1115
36Santamarina16277-813
37Circulo Deportivo16277-813

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 67% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.44.

Who will win Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

On our numbers Deportivo Rincon have a 59% chance of winning, the draw 25% and Costa Brava 16%.

How many goals will there be in Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 33% likely and both teams score 46% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Our predicted score is Deportivo Rincon 1–0 Costa Brava, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava?

Deportivo Rincon vs Costa Brava (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Gremio de Los Petroleros.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.