Juventud Unida Univ. v Santamarina: numbers & prediction

Torneo Federal A · Argentina · Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez

Santamarina

WLWLL

Juventud Unida Univ. 68%Draw 21%Santamarina 11% Expected goals 1.54 – 0.41

65%

Betarazi pick

Under 2.5 goals

Good pick · fair odds 1.55 · bookmaker 1.57 · Won ✓

6/10Rating

1.57Odds

Picks by market

ResultJuventud Unida Univ. to win ✓68% · @1.22

Double chanceJuventud Unida Univ. or draw ✓89% · @1.07

Both teams scoreNot both teams to score ✓56% · @1.53

GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓83% · @1.17

Correct scoreCorrect score 1–0 ✓22% · fair 4.56

Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina: Betarazi preview and prediction

The fixture

Juventud Unida Univ. welcome Santamarina to Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez for a Torneo Federal A fixture on Sunday 6 September (19:00 WAT). In the table, Juventud Unida Univ. are 31st, lower half, on 17 points after 16 matches; Santamarina are 36th (in the drop zone) with 13.

Current form

Juventud Unida Univ., last 5: WLDLW Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Costa Brava, away. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Santamarina, last 5: WLWLL Their latest outing: 2–1 win over Circulo Deportivo, at home. Away from home the record reads 0 won, 3 lost from 3. Scoring is the worry: just 0.8 goals a game.

Where the goals come from

Betarazi's ratings give Juventud Unida Univ. 1.5 xG, Santamarina 0.4 xG – a total near 1.9. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 65% and a clean sheet for one side more likely than not.

Markets worth a look

1X2 according to our numbers – Juventud Unida Univ. 68%, draw 21%, Santamarina 11%.
GG/NG: NG (56%) at 1.53.

Our call before kick-off

Our pre-match call was Under 2.5 goals (65%, odds 1.57). Most likely score in line with that pick: Juventud Unida Univ. 1–0 Santamarina. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.

Result chances

Juventud Unida Univ.68%fair 1.48 · @1.22

Draw21%fair 4.75 · @4.50

Santamarina11%fair 8.82 · @13.00

1.95Expected goals

1.54Juventud Unida Univ. xG

0.41Santamarina xG

44%Both score

35%Over 2.5

Score grid: top six

1–022%

2–017%

0–014%

1–19%

3–09%

2–17%

From our goals model: Juventud Unida Univ. 1.5 – 0.4 Santamarina expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.

All markets: our price vs the bookmaker

Market	Most likely	Chance	Fair odds	Bookmaker
Match result	Juventud Unida Univ. to win ✓	68%	1.48	1.22
Double chance	Juventud Unida Univ. or draw ✓	89%	1.13	1.07
Both teams to score	Not both teams to score ✓	56%	1.79	1.53
Draw no bet	Juventud Unida Univ. (draw no bet) ✓	86%	1.17	–
Asian handicap	Juventud Unida Univ. -0.5 (Asian handicap) ✓	66%	1.52	–
Over/under 1.5 goals	Over 1.5 goals ✗	61%	1.63	1.44
Over/under 2.5 goals	Under 2.5 goals ✓	65%	1.55	1.57
Over/under 3.5 goals	Under 3.5 goals ✓	83%	1.20	1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals	Under 4.5 goals ✓	92%	1.09	1.05
First team to score	Juventud Unida Univ. to score first ✓	68%	1.48	–
Half-time result	Level at half-time ✗	48%	2.09	–
Half-time / full-time	HT Juventud Unida Univ. / FT Juventud Unida Univ. ✓	40%	2.48	–
Correct score	Correct score 1–0 ✓	22%	4.56	–

Recent results

Juventud Unida Univ. – last 6

WLDLWL

30 Aug	@ Costa Brava	2–1	W
23 Aug	@ Deportivo Rincon	0–1	L
16 Aug	vs Circulo Deportivo	0–0	D
12 Aug	@ Guillermo Brown	1–2	L
8 Aug	vs Fundacion Amigos	1–0	W
2 Aug	@ Germinal de Rawson	1–2	L

0.8Scored / game

1.0Conceded / game

50%Both scored

50%Over 2.5

Santamarina – last 6

WLWLLL

30 Aug	vs Circulo Deportivo	2–1	W
23 Aug	@ Guillermo Brown	0–1	L
17 Aug	vs Fundacion Amigos	2–0	W
12 Aug	@ Germinal de Rawson	1–5	L
8 Aug	vs San Martín Mendoza	0–1	L
2 Aug	@ Sol de Mayo	0–1	L

0.8Scored / game

1.5Conceded / game

33%Both scored

33%Over 2.5

Head to head

No previous meetings on record between Juventud Unida Univ. and Santamarina.

Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina head-to-head page →

Torneo Federal A table

#	Team	P	W	D	L	GD	Pts
1	Olimpo Bahia Blanca	16	8	7	1	+9	31
2	Douglas Haig	18	9	4	5	+7	31
3	Sportivo Belgrano	18	7	9	2	+12	30
4	San Martin Formosa	16	9	3	4	+6	30
5	Alvarado	16	7	6	3	+12	27
6	Gimnasia Chivilcoy	18	7	6	5	+5	27
7	Defensores de Belgrano VR	18	7	6	5	+4	27
8	Kimberley Mar del Plata	16	6	8	2	+6	26
9	Bartolomé Mitre	16	7	5	4	+6	26
10	Sol de América	16	8	2	6	+5	26
11	Juventud Antoniana	16	7	4	5	+8	25
12	Cipolletti	16	7	4	5	+4	25
13	Sarmiento de La Banda	16	7	4	5	+2	25
14	9 de Julio Rafaela	18	7	4	7	+1	25
15	Sportivo Las Parejas	18	5	9	4	-1	24
16	Villa Mitre	16	5	8	3	+6	23
17	Argentino Monte Maíz	16	5	8	3	+4	23
18	Atenas	16	6	5	5	-1	23
19	Huracan Las Heras	16	6	5	5	-2	23
20	Atletico Escobar	18	6	4	8	-8	22
21	Fundacion Amigos	16	4	9	3	+3	21
22	Deportivo Rincon	16	5	4	7	-3	19
23	San Martín Mendoza	16	4	7	5	-4	19
24	Defensores de Vilelas	16	6	1	9	-5	19
25	Independiente De Chivilcoy	18	4	7	7	-7	19
26	El Linqueño	18	5	4	9	-7	19
27	Costa Brava	16	4	6	6	-1	18
28	Sol de Mayo	16	4	6	6	-3	18
29	Boca Unidos	16	5	3	8	-6	18
30	Germinal de Rawson	16	4	6	6	-7	18
31	Juventud Unida Univ.	16	3	8	5	0	17
32	Tucuman Central	16	5	2	9	-5	17
33	Gimnasia Concepción	18	4	5	9	-6	17
34	Guillermo Brown	16	4	5	7	-7	17
35	Sarmiento Resistencia	16	3	6	7	-11	15
36	Santamarina	16	2	7	7	-8	13
37	Circulo Deportivo	16	2	7	7	-8	13

More Torneo Federal A predictions

League hub

Fundacion Amigos1

Germinal de Rawson1 160%1.55X23%3.20217%7.00 1.4–0.6xG U3.5Under 3.5 goals 82%@1.20 ✓

Alvarado3

Atenas2 164%1.62X24%3.10212%5.50 1.5–0.4xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.50 ✗

Deportivo Rincon1

Costa Brava1 159%1.85X25%2.90216%4.20 1.4–0.5xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Guillermo Brown1

San Martín Mendoza1 142%2.30X25%2.80234%3.00 1.1–0.9xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 67%@1.44 ✓

Bartolomé Mitre0

Gimnasia Chivilcoy1 19%21.00X16%6.00275%1.14 0.3–1.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 66%@1.53 ✓

Huracan Las Heras1

Argentino Monte Maíz2 140%2.15X26%2.70235%3.50 0.9–0.8xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 75%@1.28 ✗

Olimpo Bahia Blanca1

Cipolletti1 160%1.50X21%3.40219%6.50 1.4–0.6xG U2.5Under 2.5 goals 65%@1.53 ✓

Sarmiento de La Banda1

9 de Julio Rafaela4 158%1.93X24%3.20217%3.54 1.6–0.8xG 1XSarmiento de La Banda or draw 83%@1.21 ✗

Frequently asked questions

What is the prediction for Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina?

Our pick is Under 2.5 goals with a 65% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.57.

Who will win Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina?

On our numbers Juventud Unida Univ. have a 68% chance of winning, the draw 21% and Santamarina 11%.

How many goals will there be in Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina?

We expect about 1.9 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 35% likely and both teams score 44% of the time on our projection.

What is the predicted score for Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina?

Our predicted score is Juventud Unida Univ. 1–0 Santamarina, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 1.9 goals in total.

When is Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina?

Juventud Unida Univ. vs Santamarina (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 19:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Mario Sebastian Diez.

Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.