Boca Unidos 45%Draw 24%Gimnasia Concepción 31%Expected goals 1.23 – 0.94
63%
Betarazi pick
Over 1.5 goals
Good pick · fair odds 1.58 · bookmaker 1.50 · Lost ✗
6/10Rating
1.50Odds
GG
Value bet: Both teams to score @ 2.20 – our chance 50% vs 45% implied by the price (edge +10%). Bigger price, more risk. Lost ✗
Picks by market
ResultBoca Unidos to win ✓45% · @2.15
Double chanceEither team to win ✓76% · @1.30
Both teams scoreBoth teams to score ✗50% · @2.20
GoalsUnder 3.5 goals ✓81% · @1.17
Correct scoreCorrect score 2–1 ✗8% · fair 12.29
Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción: Betarazi preview and prediction
The fixture
Gimnasia Concepción travel to face Boca Unidos on Sunday 6 September in the Torneo Federal A, with Estadio Leoncio Benitez the venue – the ball rolls at 21:00 WAT. In the table, Boca Unidos are 29th, lower half, on 18 points after 16 matches; Gimnasia Concepción are 33rd (lower half) with 17. Only 1 point split them, so the winner climbs above the loser.
Current form
Boca Unidos, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 2–2 draw with Tucuman Central, away. In their own stadium the record reads 1 won, 1 lost from 3. Goals for and against: 1.7 scored, 1.0 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 3 clean sheets in that run.
Gimnasia Concepción, last 5: DWWDW Their latest outing: 0–0 draw with Independiente De Chivilcoy, at home. Goals for and against: 1.3 scored, 0.2 conceded per game. Defensively they have kept 5 clean sheets in that run.
Where the goals come from
Betarazi's ratings give Boca Unidos 1.2 xG, Gimnasia Concepción 0.9 xG – a total near 2.2. On paper it is a low-scoring affair, with under 2.5 at 63%.
Markets worth a look
1X2 according to our numbers – Boca Unidos 45%, draw 24%, Gimnasia Concepción 31%.
GG/NG: GG (50%) at 2.20.
Price worth noting: Both teams to score @2.20 – the bookmaker implies 45%, our ratings say 50%.
Our call before kick-off
Our pre-match call was Over 1.5 goals (63%, odds 1.50). Most likely score in line with that pick: Boca Unidos 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción. Settled on the 90-minute result. Nothing in football is guaranteed – 18+, bet only what you can afford.
Result chances
Boca Unidos45%fair 2.22 · @2.15
Draw24%fair 4.11 · @2.90
Gimnasia Concepción31%fair 3.27 · @3.25
2.18Expected goals
1.23Boca Unidos xG
0.94Gimnasia Concepción xG
50%Both score
37%Over 2.5
Score grid: top six
1–014%
1–113%
0–011%
0–111%
2–09%
2–18%
From our goals model: Boca Unidos 1.2 – 0.9 Gimnasia Concepción expected. Correct scores are long shots even at the top of this list.
All markets: our price vs the bookmaker
Market
Most likely
Chance
Fair odds
Bookmaker
Match result
Boca Unidos to win✓
45%
2.22
2.15
Double chance
Either team to win✓
76%
1.32
1.30
Both teams to score
Both teams to score✗
50%
1.99
2.20 ▲
Draw no bet
Boca Unidos (draw no bet)✓
60%
1.68
–
Asian handicap
Gimnasia Concepción +1 (Asian handicap)
75%
1.33
–
Over/under 1.5 goals
Over 1.5 goals✗
63%
1.58
1.50
Over/under 2.5 goals
Under 2.5 goals✓
63%
1.59
1.50
Over/under 3.5 goals
Under 3.5 goals✓
81%
1.24
1.17
Over/under 4.5 goals
Under 4.5 goals✓
91%
1.10
1.05
First team to score
Boca Unidos to score first✓
50%
1.99
–
Half-time result
Level at half-time✓
48%
2.10
–
Half-time / full-time
HT Boca Unidos / FT Boca Unidos✗
25%
4.06
–
Correct score
Correct score 2–1✗
8%
12.29
–
Recent results
Boca Unidos – last 6
DWWDWL
29 Aug
@ Tucuman Central
2–2
D
23 Aug
vs Sportivo Las Parejas
1–0
W
16 Aug
@ Sarmiento Resistencia
3–0
W
8 Aug
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
1–1
D
1 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
3–0
W
26 Jul
vs Juventud Antoniana
0–3
L
1.7Scored / game
1.0Conceded / game
33%Both scored
67%Over 2.5
Gimnasia Concepción – last 6
DWWDWL
30 Aug
vs Independiente De Chivilcoy
0–0
D
23 Aug
@ Atletico Escobar
2–0
W
16 Aug
vs Defensores de Vilelas
2–0
W
13 Aug
@ El Linqueño
0–0
D
2 Aug
vs Tucuman Central
4–0
W
26 Jul
vs El Linqueño
0–1
L
1.3Scored / game
0.2Conceded / game
0%Both scored
17%Over 2.5
Head to head
No previous meetings on record between Boca Unidos and Gimnasia Concepción.
What is the prediction for Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our pick is Over 1.5 goals with a 63% chance, at bookmaker odds of 1.50.
Who will win Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
On our numbers Boca Unidos have a 45% chance of winning, the draw 24% and Gimnasia Concepción 31%.
How many goals will there be in Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
We expect about 2.2 goals. Over 2.5 goals is 37% likely and both teams score 50% of the time on our projection.
What is the predicted score for Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Our predicted score is Boca Unidos 1–1 Gimnasia Concepción, the most likely score that fits our pick. We expect about 2.2 goals in total.
When is Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción?
Boca Unidos vs Gimnasia Concepción (Torneo Federal A) kicks off on Sunday 6 September 2026 at 21:00 (West Africa Time) at Estadio Leoncio Benitez.
Numbers from Betarazi' team ratings and score grid, with bookmaker lines for late news. Kick-off times shown in your local time. Predictions are estimates, not guarantees – 18+, please bet responsibly.
